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18:45
Sep 07
HOOD 1ST Pawns 1ST UNI AERODROME 1ST HYPE 1ST
Robinhood Chain activity boosts HOOD stock.
Robinhood Chain onchain activity has exploded in recent weeks, with DEX trading, transactions, and revenue spiking. The obvious equity exposure is Robinhood because Wall Street has not properly valued this new business line, and the stock is ripping ahead of a potential earnings surprise.
HOOD LONG
Pawns revenue mirrors Pump.fun, smaller cap.
Pawns is a Robinhood Chain launchpad generating Pump.fun-like revenue, with recent days run-rating $70-80 million annualized. It is on a similar growth track but trades at a much smaller market cap, making the activity visible and attractive.
Pawns LONG
Watch UNI fee-switch sustainability.
Uniswap recently turned on its fee switch and the Robinhood Chain volume surge is burning UNI, but Katie needs to see the activity persist. If UNI is still dominating Robinhood Chain in six months and the burn continues, she would become more favorable on Uniswap.
UNI WATCH
Aerodrome token model aligns LPs.
Aerodrome's vote-escrow token model aligns liquidity providers as equity holders and creates a feedback loop between emissions, liquidity, and fees. Arca likes AERO because the token has real usage, unlike Uniswap's historically governance-only token.
AERODROME LONG
Hyperliquid buyback burn supports HYPE.
Hyperliquid is the runaway success behind the buyback mania because it uses about 97% of revenues to buy back and burn HYPE. Its token has stayed strong in a bear market while volumes hit all-time highs, supported by business lines beyond crypto trading.
HYPE LONG
Long other privacy tokens after Zcash.
Zcash's huge rally is a sector signal. When one token in a sector moves, capital rotates to the next assets in the same theme, so Katie says investors probably should long the other privacy tokens because they are the next ones to move.
Privacy tokens LONG
Watch chains with institutional privacy tech.
Rather than single-purpose privacy coins, the bigger institutional privacy narrative favors chains with actual privacy technology now. Katie says to focus on Ethereum, LayerZero's upcoming Zero chain, ZKsync, Aztec Network, and Starknet, which can shield transactions and attest to data.
ETH WATCH ZRO WATCH ZK WATCH Aztec Network WATCH STRK WATCH
Kinetic programmatic buyback currently active.
Kinetic's buyback is more programmatic and closer to Hyperliquid, buying back around 90% of revenue, and Katie says it is currently doing that.
Kinetic LONG
ENA buyback contingent on USDe growth.
Ethena just passed a fee switch for ENA buyback and burn, but activation is contingent on USDe supply reaching $7.5 billion versus current supply just above $4 billion. Bull-market stablecoin supply expansion could trigger the buyback.
ENA WATCH
HIGH
16:30
Sep 07
Cash and bank deposits Nominal government bonds GLD
Deposits lose real purchasing power
Pablo Gil argues that financial repression acts as a silent tax on savings, and that cash and low-yielding deposits lose purchasing power when inflation exceeds the interest paid, such as a 3% deposit with 4% inflation losing real value before taxes.
Cash and bank deposits AVOID
Nominal bonds lose to inflation
Nominal fixed-rate bonds can offer an attractive coupon but still lose real value when inflation runs above the bond yield, and they can fall in price if markets demand higher interest rates; under financial repression, bondholders absorb part of the real loss.
Nominal government bonds AVOID
Real assets hedge long-term inflation
Real assets can benefit some owners during inflation and may protect purchasing power over the long term, but buying them too expensive can produce sharp corrections, so they are a qualified inflation hedge rather than an unconditional buy.
GLD WATCH
HIGH
14:05
Sep 07
HOOD NKE XLK 1ST
Robinhood can multiply on Trump inflows.
Radchenko is bullish on Robinhood. He notes the stock was around $104, had a buy-the-dip level there, and has since moved to $120 with likely further upside. He argues Robinhood is a Trump-favored company, is creating accounts for newborn Americans, is receiving large money inflows, and its network earned $8 million in fees on Friday alone. He says the company can still make multiples.
HOOD LONG
Nike bad news already priced.
Radchenko presents Nike as a medium-term idea. He notes Nike has fallen sharply and is the worst performer in the S&P 500, and news came out Friday that it is being removed from the S&P 100. His view is that the bad news is already priced in, creating a contrarian medium-term opportunity.
NKE LONG
AI corrections offer medium-term entries.
Radchenko says many AI-sector names are in corrections of 20-30% and that this is a good period to enter medium-term trades in the AI sector. He frames autumn as the most active US trading season and says they monitor these setups.
XLK LONG
HIGH
14:00
Sep 07
SPY FLIP ADBE MAGA GOP DEMZ
September S&P 500 deserves extra caution.
Over the last 25 years, September has been the weakest month for the S&P 500, especially late September. The speaker attributes this to US mutual funds with September fiscal year-ends doing tax-loss harvesting, which creates concentrated selling; unless July-August already had a large drawdown, September deserves extra caution.
SPY AVOID
Adobe earnings signals software sector direction.
Adobe's earnings will be a barometer for the software sector: software stocks had rallied about 50% from the bottom but began fading last Friday, so Adobe's report should confirm whether the software rebound resumes or is ending.
ADBE WATCH
Politics-based ETFs underperform the broad index.
Political-donation-based ETFs select companies by whether they donate to Democrats or Republicans rather than by economic logic. Over the past five years, DEMZ returned about 63% and MAGA returned about 57%, while SPY returned about 73%, so both politically built portfolios underperformed the broad index.
MAGA AVOID DEMZ AVOID
Congressional stock-trading ETFs beat the index.
US lawmakers must disclose stock trades over $1,000 within 45 days under the STOCK Act, so their disclosed portfolios can be tracked. The Democratic congressional trading ETF returned about 110% and the Republican one about 79% over five years, beating SPY's roughly 73%. The speaker suggests the portfolio ETF is the easiest way to follow this, and newly added holdings are useful research leads.
GOP LONG NANC LONG
Watch Oracle debt and earnings reaction.
Oracle's earnings this week matter because Oracle's debt has jumped significantly. The speaker says investors should watch how bond investors respond to that debt, making Oracle a key test of how much balance-sheet leverage the market will tolerate.
ORCL WATCH
HIGH
14:00
Sep 07
Flop token GEN
Flop token rises with native agentic commerce.
Flop is a network for AI agents built around a unit of compute. Arthur argues the Flop token will only achieve meaningful valuation above a basic compute spot market if native agentic commerce develops on Flop. He expects AI agents to transact 24/7, globally, at high speed and volume but often lower notional amounts, with Flop serving as the payment and compute layer. The testnet airdrop campaign is planned for Q4 and mainnet launch is expected in Q1 next year, when miners can sell FLOP into the secondary market.
Flop token WATCH
GenLayer token enables AI agent dispute resolution.
GenLayer is an 'internet court' built as an L2 plus an overlay network of up to 1,500 validators connected to different AI models. It resolves subjective, natural-language contracts and escrow decisions in minutes for cents, enabling agent-to-agent commerce without human judges. The GenLayer token is required for staking, gas, and appeal bonds. The network has been running on testnet for about a year with roughly 10,000 to 30,000 decisions per day, and the token and mainnet launch are planned within months.
GEN WATCH
HIGH
13:53
Sep 07
OAT EWQ European AI URA 1ST
Fiscal golden rule supports French bonds.
Bardella says France's current debt and deficit path is the real economic danger, and that National Rally would restore fiscal credibility through €125bn of spending cuts and a constitutional 'golden rule' against deficits. He argues that debt cancellation would be zero-sum and destroy creditor confidence, whereas his policy would reassure creditors and restore France's financial legitimacy.
OAT WATCH
Pro-business reforms support French companies.
Bardella argues that National Rally's economic program would reassure investors and revive French growth by cutting production taxes that are twice as high as in Europe, cutting poor public spending by €125bn, introducing a constitutional deficit golden rule, and giving French producers priority in public procurement. This is framed as a competitiveness shock for French businesses, from SMEs to large groups.
EWQ LONG
France to lead European AI deployment.
Bardella wants France to become Europe's home for AI deployment and the European cloud. He argues France has the best AI researchers, that EU regulation has already hurt European tech competitiveness, that technologies should not be regulated before they are created, and that tech investors need abundant cheap electricity. He says France should create a favorable AI ecosystem.
European AI LONG
Remove EU barriers on French nuclear.
Bardella argues that France needs to restore a French electricity price backed by nuclear energy, saying nuclear deployment is currently blocked by the European energy market. This implies a policy push to support French nuclear power and cheaper electricity as an economic advantage.
URA LONG
HIGH
13:07
Sep 07
USD/JPY TLT JGBUX GLD FCX FLIP
Below 150 signals serious carry unwind.
Japan drew down FX reserves by about $80B in August and spent a record ~$100B on yen intervention, selling US Treasuries and converting dollars into yen. The carry trade is vulnerable because a stronger yen or higher JGB yields can force margin-call liquidation of dollar assets. The 150 level in USD/JPY is the signal line: above 150 is normal, below 150 opens serious carry unwind and forced yen buying.
USD/JPY WATCH
Japanese and fiscal supply pressure TLT.
Japan's reserve sales are adding supply to US Treasuries exactly as US deficits, refinancing, and heavy issuance keep pressure on long yields. The 20-year yield has risen to about 5.2%, so TLT keeps falling; if Japanese selling continues, yields can keep climbing. TLT is below the 100-90 resistance zone and remains vulnerable; he is out.
TLT AVOID
Higher JGB yields trigger capital repatriation.
BOJ rates and JGB yields have moved up: 10-year near 3%, 30-year near 4%, and market fully prices a September hike to 1.25%. After decades of near-zero yields, Japanese investors can now earn about 3% on domestic sovereign bonds without currency risk, which is shifting the narrative from intervention to capital repatriation and can support demand for Japanese assets.
JGBUX WATCH
Gold ranging; aggressive flush creates long setup.
Gold futures positioning shows both longs and shorts contracting and open interest near a low percentile, consistent with a fourth-wave consolidation. The best medium-term long setup would be an aggressive flush lower that forces long liquidation and builds short positions, setting up a short squeeze and fresh long demand. No such extreme exists yet, but it is worth monitoring.
GLD WATCH
Exited FCX on diagonal fourth-wave risk.
He exited FCX after a successful trade because the copper chart has a characteristic diagonal pattern and he fears another down leg as a fourth wave. Copper's physical deficit reduces downside, but FCX is still sensitive to cyclical/recession fears, so he prefers to avoid it for now.
FCX AVOID
Stress rising; hedge longs, watch levels.
The systemic stress index is not at extreme stress, but the 1-month correlation component has risen from single-digit to 23rd percentile, indicating stress is building beneath the surface even with VIX low. He holds at least 50% long but is actively hedging. A break of the high opens further upside; a break of the lower level targets the cluster below, so watch key levels and the stress exit signal.
SPY WATCH
Bitcoin squeezed; key breakout decides direction.
Bitcoin has likely broken resistance, but he does not trust an immediate rally; he prefers triangle or flat scenarios between two large volume clusters. The previously broken trend line is the key level: above it opens upside, below it leaves the door open for a downward continuation. Watch the retest of the breakout.
BTC WATCH
MOEX breakout-test setup supports upside.
The MOEX Russia index executed a textbook breakout-test-continuation setup: price broke resistance, retested it as support, and turned higher. He sees the wave structure supporting further upside, with the ideal macro confirmation being rising oil and a weakening ruble.
MOEX Russia Index LONG
RTS large triangle likely resolves upward.
RTS likely remains in a large triangle fourth wave with lower highs and higher lows; the medium-term resolution is most likely upward, but timing and exact wave format are uncertain and dollar-ruble moves complicate the dollar-denominated index.
MOEX:RTSI WATCH
Yuan becoming funding currency; panda issuance grows.
China's deflationary pressure keeps rates low, making the yuan cheaper to fund than the dollar. He sees the yuan as a candidate to replace the yen as a funding currency, and European banks and insurers are already issuing panda bonds in China; if Japanese and US yields keep climbing while Chinese rates stay low, this trend can strengthen.
CNY WATCH
HIGH
13:00
Sep 07
EWY 031980.KQ 1ST 000660.KS 005930.KS 403870.KQ 1ST
KOSPI breaking toward 7,500; buy pullbacks.
KOSPI's close at 6,995 is a meaningful test of the box top around 7,000. Yu sees the prior Thursday low as unlikely to break, opening a path toward 7,500. Heavy retail selling was absorbed by foreign, institutional, and pension buying; he would actively buy while KOSPI holds above 6,800 and use a close below 6,800 as the stop, buying pullbacks into the gap.
EWY LONG
Korean semiconductor equipment names remain attractive.
If the semiconductor turn continues, Korean semiconductor equipment and materials names can work. PSK Holdings is near new highs; HPSP and EO Technics still have room; TCK is in a tight period adjustment that could break out once it gathers energy.
031980.KQ LONG 403870.KQ LONG 030200.KQ LONG TECK LONG
SK Hynix broke resistance; target 195,000-200,000.
SK Hynix finally closed above 178,000 won after being rejected at that level three times. Yu expects further closes above 180,000, opening a new box roughly between 175,000 and 195,000, and possibly 200,000 this month. He would buy pullbacks.
000660.KS LONG
Samsung Electronics has room toward 280,000-290,000.
Samsung Electronics also has its 60-day moving average and box top around 280,000-290,000 won. Although it has already rallied and pulled back, that upside zone remains open if the semiconductor turn continues.
005930.KS LONG
Doosan Enerbility power equipment momentum continues.
Yu reads the strong action in Doosan Enerbility and BHI positively despite government comments that US investment details are not confirmed. He argues the power generation equipment investment itself is certain and faster to generate cash than nuclear or Alaska LNG projects, so momentum can continue.
034020.KS LONG BHI LONG
Oracle and Nvidia support semiconductor turn.
Yu sees Oracle's chart as reviving and attempting to break out toward new highs, while Nvidia is making another run at its record high. This supports his broader view that the semiconductor turn is underway.
ORCL LONG NVDA LONG
Avoid cosmetics as season and momentum fade.
Yu turns cautious on cosmetics: Dalba broke a key level and Silicon2 corrected hard over several sessions. The sector's high season is passing, the stronger won is squeezing export margins for smaller players, and these names should rest while the broader market pushes toward 7,000.
KORU AVOID Dalba AVOID Silicon2 AVOID
KOSDAQ setup turns bullish above 830.
Yu sees KOSDAQ holding despite large-cap strength. If it breaks 830, it can revive significantly. He is more positive on KOSDAQ semis, secondary batteries, and energy, while biotech likely waits for FOMC.
KOSDAQ Index WATCH
L&F drop is a buying opportunity.
Yu treats L&F's drop on the convertible bond issuance news as a buying opportunity because the proceeds are for facility investment, the issuance size was reduced from 500 billion won to 300 billion won, and institutional investors are likely to bid actively.
LNF LONG
Secondary battery sector still can rise.
Yu says the broader secondary battery sector has not topped: despite L&F's adjustment, POSCO Future M, EcoPro, LG Energy Solution, Samsung SDI, and SK Innovation all held flat, so the group can run again.
Korean secondary battery sector LONG
US equities likely strong into November.
Myeong argues the usual pre-midterm weakness will reverse: because Trump's approval is low and the administration needs a high stock market, the U.S. market is unlikely to break. He expects September-October to be good, with a potential turn after mid-November. If U.S. equities hold, Korean equities can stay supported.
SPY LONG
Semiconductor turn has arrived; buy dips.
Yu argues the semiconductor turn has arrived: Korean semis led the whole market, Micron and SanDisk rallied, AI catalysts added sentiment, Broadcom earnings did not damage semiconductor investment appetite, and in a high-rate regime semis are the sector that actually earns money. He says not to sell semis aggressively and to buy dips.
Korean semiconductor sector LONG
HIGH
12:00
Sep 07
005930.KS 000660.KS 034020.KS Korean secondary battery sector 267260.KS
Buy Samsung Electronics and SK hynix rebounds
He argues Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are entering a tradable rebound after reclaiming the 120-day moving average and improving foreign supply-demand. He says investors who sold semiconductor exposure should buy back at least a portion, and those without semis should establish positions. He still does not recommend full concentration and would trim on strength if heavily loaded.
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
Renewables and Doosan Energy attracting funds
He added energy exposure to his model portfolio, saying renewable energy keeps catching his attention, especially wind. Doosan Enerbility saw strong inflows on nuclear-related momentum, and he expects funds to rotate into the energy complex.
034020.KS LONG Korean renewable energy/wind LONG
Secondary batteries likely rebound again
He says secondary batteries will likely rally again after their current pullback. He later links them to the renewable/data-center demand chain as an additional reason for interest.
Korean secondary battery sector LONG
Power equipment needs 120-day breakout
He now says power equipment is worth watching, with Hyosung Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Electric rebounding. But he notes LS Electric and the sector remain below the 120-day average; reclaiming that line would make the group more elastic. US-China transformer dynamics may limit or support the trade.
267260.KS WATCH 010120.KS WATCH 298040.KS WATCH
Raise stock exposure if cash heavy
He believes the market has passed the most dangerous phase. If cash is too heavy, he recommends raising equity exposure from as low as 30% to at least 50%. He adds that if KOSPI holds above the recent recovery area for about two weeks despite macro noise, year-end upside looks good.
EWY LONG
Korean chip equipment valuations look attractive
He changed from favoring only Samsung Electronics and SK hynix to also watching semiconductor equipment/materials. Rotation could send funds into smaller sectors, valuations are below historical PER, and even if a dramatic sales boost from capex appears only in 2027, stock prices can improve earlier.
Korean semiconductor equipment/materials LONG
Pharma biotech may be cut if weak
He currently holds about 25% in pharmaceuticals/biotech but will reduce the position if the sector cannot show an elastic rebound this week. This is a conditional exit/avoid setup on pharma-biotech momentum.
XLV WATCH
Favor KOSPI over KOSDAQ allocation
He observes that KOSPI regained strength versus KOSDAQ after KOSDAQ's strong August rally, and the performance gap narrowed. He argues investors should not chase KOSDAQ concentration for risk management and still favor KOSPI at roughly 60-70% of portfolio allocation.
KOSDAQ WATCH
Construction and nuclear shares may extend rebound
He says construction and nuclear-related sectors are showing additional rebound, with nuclear momentum flowing into construction names.
Korean construction/nuclear-related stocks LONG
Tanker and bulk shipping orders watch
He flags a second-half shipbuilding setup: tanker and bulk carrier fleets have a high share of 20-year-old vessels and relatively little new ordering, while LNG fleets are younger and already have orders placed. He suggests watching whether Korean shipbuilders receive tanker/bulk orders, though shipbuilding is currently lower priority in price action.
Korean Shipbuilding WATCH
HIGH
11:01
Sep 07
005930.KS 000660.KS 034020.KS BHI Co. 298040.KS 1ST
AI memory demand reaccelerates on Astra.
OpenAI's Astra is being treated as an AGI/agentic breakthrough that re-accelerates AI capex and memory demand. Token price declines no longer hurt because agentic workloads require far more training and inference tokens, which revives learning-model demand and should keep GPU, HBM, and DRAM demand strong through the next several years.
005930.KS LONG
AI memory demand reaccelerates on Astra.
Korean memory shares were absurdly cheap versus Micron before today: local SK hynix traded at about a 44% discount to Micron, while SK hynix ADR traded at a normal 18% discount. HBM leadership and the memory cycle mean the discount should narrow, and investors should not sell into the first 5-8% pop because catalysts remain: Micron earnings around October 1 and Nvidia GTC around October 21.
000660.KS LONG
Power equipment benefits from data center demand.
Data center power demand and Musk/XAI-related gas power plant news are driving Korean power equipment and nuclear-related names. Doosan Enerbility, BHI heat recovery boilers, KEPCO E&C, and Hyosung Heavy Industries are benefiting from the idea that gas turbines and heat recovery boilers move together, while power equipment remains structurally short.
034020.KS LONG BHI Co. LONG 298040.KS LONG
Korean chip equipment bottoming; watch resistance.
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials names are attempting bottoms after a severe selloff. HPSP is making a V-shaped rebound, Doosan Tesna rose about 12%, and PSK Holdings, Wonik IPS, and Eugene Technology are showing rotation flows; the key is whether they can clear overhead supply.
131970.KQ WATCH
LG Electronics robot lineup re-rates.
LG Electronics has new momentum from robot-related order expectations and reports that its subsidiary Bear Robotics is attracting investment ahead of a possible Nasdaq listing. Foreign and institutional investors bought heavily, and the stock could run toward 240,000 won before becoming heavier.
066570.KS LONG
Philoptics event-driven glass substrate play.
Philoptics hit the daily limit on glass substrate equipment momentum. The company plans a first public demo of its 2mm glass substrate and TGV process at the KPCA show in Songdo around September 9-11; if TGV glass substrates prove viable, they could replace silicon interposers and change the substrate supply chain, but failure could also crash the stock.
161580.KQ WATCH
Gold is attractive on dips.
Gold is attractive on price dips amid macro uncertainty and rate volatility. He recommends buying gold consistently when price merit appears rather than chasing it.
GLD LONG
Korean won strengthens further, USD/KRW falls.
USD/KRW broke a seven-year trendline and Korea's export model says the won should continue strengthening. The first pullback target is around 1,320, and while 1,250 is seen as difficult, the direction is down even though the speed is uncomfortable for exporters.
USD/KRW SHORT
Yen weakness persists; buy BOJ scares.
The yen's weak trend will not easily change from BOJ rate hikes or yen-carry headlines. If BOJ news causes yen strength or equity weakness, he says trade the opposite direction because the structural yen weakness only breaks on actual North American credit defaults, not on BOJ action.
USD/JPY LONG
Short long-term Treasuries toward 5% yield.
Long-term bond yields are likely to keep rising because the natural buyers, pension funds and insurers, benefit from higher rates and are not buying. The fiscal-deficit narrative is mostly an excuse; until the trend breaks, the US 10-year Treasury yield can reach its prior high of about 5%.
IEF SHORT
Korean renewable energy attracts funds.
He added renewable energy exposure to his model portfolio because he sees funds rotating into energy after the nuclear/power rally. He personally favors wind over solar and expects renewable energy names to attract capital.
Korean renewable energy sector LONG
Korean battery stocks will rebound again.
The 2nd battery sector is consolidating after its prior run, but he believes it will move again. He still holds a 10% portfolio weight and views the current pullback as a rest phase rather than a broken trend, with future ESS or demand catalysts needed for the next leg.
Korean 2nd battery sector LONG
Korean chip equipment bottoming; watch resistance.
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials companies are undervalued versus their historical PERs, and about 56% of covered names delivered earnings surprises in the first half. With Samsung and SK hynix inventory dropping below 10 days, equipment names should see improving stock sentiment now even if the major capex-driven revenue surge arrives around 2027.
031980.KQ WATCH 403870.KQ WATCH
Tanker/bulk replacement could lift shipbuilders.
Shipbuilding has been relatively quiet, but he is watching a potential H2 catalyst: LNG ships are mostly young and already ordered, while tankers and bulk carriers have a far higher share of vessels over 20 years old and have been under-ordered. Korean yards could therefore receive replacement orders in tanker/bulk segments.
Korean shipbuilding sector WATCH
KOSPI extends upward on institutional flows.
The KOSPI is now anchoring above key moving averages, with foreign investors, institutions, and even futures buyers returning strongly while individuals sold about 8 trillion won. The heavy individual selling is clearing supply, and the market may extend higher with the 7,000-point level as the next important test.
EWY LONG
Korean chip equipment valuations offer upside.
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials companies are undervalued versus their historical PERs, and about 56% of covered names delivered earnings surprises in the first half. With Samsung and SK hynix inventory dropping below 10 days, equipment names should see improving stock sentiment now even if the major capex-driven revenue surge arrives around 2027.
WONIK IPS LONG
Korean power equipment needs technical confirmation.
Korean power equipment, led by Hyosung Heavy Industries and HD Hyundai Electric, is rebounding on US transformer and power demand themes, but the group still needs to clear its 120-day moving averages for stronger momentum. The US transformer supply chain remains exposed to China, though the direct transformer share is still under 10%.
267260.KS WATCH
L&F CB drop is buying opportunity.
L&F dropped on reports that it may issue a 300 billion won convertible bond, but he views the facility-investment financing as not negative. Long-term investors are likely to bid for the CB, and the resulting adjustment is a buying opportunity for L&F and the battery materials complex.
LNF LONG
Korean chip equipment chart setups bullish.
If a semiconductor turn is underway, Korean chip equipment names with tight consolidation patterns can lead. He identifies HPSP and PSK Holdings, and says EO Technics still has opportunity after PSK Holdings became more extended; TCK also shows a positive signal.
030200.KQ LONG
Buy KOSPI dips while above 6,800.
For the week ahead, he says not to aggressively sell stocks, especially semiconductors. Any pullback into today's gap area is a buy zone, and he would remain aggressively long KOSPI until a close below 6,800; KOSDAQ can strengthen further once it breaks 830.
KOSDAQ Index LONG
Favor US S&P 500; aggressive later.
Seasonal data shows September is historically weak, especially late in the month, while November is the best month for the S&P 500. The September weakness is partly driven by mutual fund tax-loss harvesting and fiscal-year-end window dressing, so caution in September is warranted unless there is a special offsetting force.
SPY LONG
Avoid politically aligned ETFs, they lag.
Political donation-based ETFs such as DEMZ and MAGA have underperformed the S&P 500 over five years. Investing through a purely political lens is not economic logic, so he views these funds as structurally weaker than broad index exposure.
DEMZ AVOID MAGA AVOID
Congressional-trading ETFs beat S&P 500.
ETFs that track US lawmakers' stock portfolios, NANC for Democratic members and GOP for Republican members, have both beaten the S&P 500 over five years. Because congressional disclosures provide a useful starting point for idea generation, he thinks these portfolios are worth following.
NANC LONG GOP LONG
HIGH
11:00
Sep 07
000660.KS 005930.KS SMH Korean semiconductor equipment/materials 298040.KS
Samsung and SK hynix lag US peers.
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix have additional catch-up upside because Korean memory names have lagged US peers. SK hynix rose 8% but still shows a roughly 30–36% gap versus US/ADR comparables while a normal gap is around 20%, so if US semis rise after the holiday these names could follow.
000660.KS LONG 005930.KS LONG
AI hardware investment reaccelerates on agents.
An AI agent breakthrough (Astra/ChatGPT-style) is reigniting AI investment expansion expectations. NVIDIA's next model may require 400,000 GPUs versus 100,000 Blackwell units, and as models become more autonomous, hardware demand accelerates — especially HBM and memory, with DRAM prices expected to rise on shortages.
SMH LONG
Korean semiconductor equipment materials still attractive.
The AI-driven semiconductor rebound is lifting Korean semiconductor equipment and materials names. The speaker notes sector-wide strength, says HPSP keeps rising as the group catches up, and advises investors with little exposure to add semiconductor equipment/materials alongside Samsung and SK hynix.
Korean semiconductor equipment/materials LONG
US power shortage drives nuclear equipment.
US power shortages and AI data center demand are driving nuclear, gas turbine, and power equipment orders. Doosan Enerbility has leverage to both nuclear and gas turbines, while LS Electric and Hyosung Heavy Industries also rallied. The speaker says the group remains attractive and pullbacks are buying opportunities.
298040.KS LONG 034020.KS LONG 010120.KS LONG
Doosan Fuel Cell benefits from power shortage.
Doosan Fuel Cell is becoming the alternative supplier to Blue Energy because Blue Energy's production capacity is limited. With electricity so scarce, expensive fuel-cell generation is being treated as direct power rather than backup, so the stock rebounded sharply after prior panic selling.
336260.KS LONG
Secondary batteries need cooling after surge.
Secondary battery stocks are heavy after their prior run and seeing profit-taking. The speaker advises investors who bought recently and are profitable to trim until a deeper correction or renewed rebound appears, though he still views the group as a trading buy after a pullback.
Korean secondary battery sector AVOID
Philoptics glass substrate event worth monitoring.
Philoptics hit the upper limit on glass substrate momentum. It plans to show actual TGV (through glass via) process equipment at the KPCA show in Songdo from September 9–11, and TGV is seen as a potential replacement for silicon interposers. The key challenge is drilling glass without cracks, which Philoptics says it can do with zero defects, so the speaker advises watching results.
161580.KQ WATCH
Korean defense less attractive on delays.
Korean defense stocks are becoming less attractive. Orders have been delayed outside one US howitzer deal, geopolitical constraints complicate export decisions, and the speaker says he may reduce exposure next week; he would rather wait than chase the sector.
Korean defense sector AVOID
Buy KOSPI on September dips.
The AI event changed the September setup; the speaker says investors with no exposure should put money to work, corrections should be bought, and cash weight should be reduced rather than raised. KOSPI may stay bumpy into FOMC and Chuseok, but adding exposure is favored over sitting out.
EWY LONG
HYBE pressured by chairman noise.
HYBE remains pressured by negative news around Chairman Bang Si-hyuk. The speaker says the noise is making the stock unattractive and it will likely struggle unless that issue is resolved.
352820.KS AVOID
Isu Petasys key at 120,000 won.
Isu Petasys has fallen too far and is attempting a rebound, but 120,000 won is the key inflection level. If the stock stalls around that level, investors with profits should consider trimming.
007660.KS WATCH
Biotech may move after rate decision.
Korean biotech is currently beaten down, but the speaker expects direction to be determined after the base rate decision. Large licensing-out deals have started appearing and sentiment is improving, so the sector is worth monitoring even though timing is uncertain.
Korean biotech/healthcare WATCH
Shipbuilding waits for project catalysts.
Korean shipbuilding is quiet because the rally lacks continuity; the sector needs a project catalyst with follow-through. The speaker advises waiting rather than chasing until such a catalyst appears.
Korean shipbuilding sector WATCH
HIGH
10:00
Sep 07
STOCKS FUTURES 1ST
Buy stocks on third-wave handle breakout
Park says charts are used to identify support that must hold and resistance that should not break. When price breaks the resistance that should not be broken, he buys; when it breaks the support that must hold, he sells. After a breakout, he uses pyramiding to add as the trend continues, which he says separates profitable traders from losers.
STOCKS LONG
Use futures for leveraged market exposure
Because the trader's seed capital was small, Park recommended futures instead of spot stocks to gain leveraged exposure to the expected big market. He emphasizes futures have about six to seven times leverage, so proper money management is essential; the trader survived the April 2025 tariff shock and trade-war volatility only by managing risk correctly.
FUTURES LONG
HIGH
10:00
Sep 07
EWY 000660.KS 005930.KS 034020.KS 000720.KS
Expiry may trigger profit-taking; buy dip.
Foreign investors have accumulated KOSPI futures on the upside since the last expiry, with cumulative contracts near 39,000 and a danger zone around 30,000-40,000. With this week's simultaneous futures/options expiry, foreign futures buying power is limited, so a further spike is likely to bring profit-taking or consolidation; Hwang advises trimming strength before expiry and buying a post-settlement dip.
EWY WATCH
AI demand drives semiconductor value chain.
SK hynix has rebounded to about 1.78 million won, within roughly 20,000 won of the 1.79-1.80 million prior high that Hwang views as the first target/box top. He expects foreigners to use that area for speed-control selling, so chasing near 1.8 million is unattractive short term, but the medium-term AI semiconductor story is intact and a pullback around expiry should be bought; Samsung Electronics is likely to trade similarly.
000660.KS LONG 005930.KS LONG
Nuclear sector spiking; profit-taking risk.
Korean nuclear power stocks staged broad news-driven sector action, with Hyundai Engineering & Construction, Doosan Enerbility, Bosung Powertec, Woori Technology and KEPCO Engineering & Construction all surging. Hwang thinks the move can extend, but a too-steep spike would likely trigger aggressive short-term profit-taking, so this is a momentum setup to trade carefully rather than chase.
034020.KS WATCH 000720.KS WATCH 006910.KQ WATCH 032820.KQ WATCH 052690.KS WATCH
Won strength hurts cosmetics, food, batteries.
The rapid appreciation of the won is becoming a margin and competitiveness headwind for Korean exporters and currency-sensitive consumer sectors; food, cosmetics/consumer and secondary battery stocks were among the day's worst performers. Hwang notes that cosmetics had late-August sector-action euphoria that made the group dangerous, so these FX-damaged and crowded areas warrant caution.
Korean secondary battery stocks AVOID Korean cosmetics/food stocks AVOID
HIGH
10:00
Sep 07
Empire
NET META 1ST GOOG 1ST
Cloudflare is core AI-agent internet infrastructure.
Cloudflare is building the payment infrastructure for the machine internet, including micropayment tolling, monetization gateway, wallet, and the Net Dollar concept. Prince argues agent traffic will need roughly 10 million to 100 million transactions per second, far beyond Visa, and Cloudflare is positioned as the customer of one for micropayments at unprecedented scale, willing to build, partner, or acquire.
NET LONG
Bots don't click ads; ad models suffer.
Prince argues the advertising-based internet business model is structurally at risk because bots do not click ads and consumers will abandon agent recommendations that are biased by advertising. He cites Google earning about $750 per US user per year and Meta about $250, with those ad dollars exposed as spending shifts toward AI agents and AI interfaces.
META AVOID
Bots don't click ads; ad models suffer.
Prince sees Google's data access advantage as a central competitive and regulatory fault line. Google sees twice as much of the internet as OpenAI, four times more than Anthropic, and many times more than X or Meta. Cloudflare is pushing to force Google to play by the same rules and to help other AI labs close the data gap, creating a watch point for Google's search/crawler dominance.
GOOG AVOID
HIGH
09:45
Sep 07
BNO Oil volatility Natural gas volatility US10Y 1ST SPY
Iran escalation boosts energy prices.
Iran's largest-ever tanker escalation and signals of a more assertive approach raise the risk of additional attacks on maritime shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, which would further boost energy prices; the key downside is a diplomatic breakthrough such as a temporary shipping lane.
BNO WATCH
Trade oil and gas volatility higher.
Low global oil and gas inventories and Middle East escalation keep oil and gas prone to large trading ranges; any weekend supply news can trigger significant volatility, so he would trade up oil and gas volatility for a long time.
Oil volatility LONG Natural gas volatility LONG
Bond yields in secular rise.
Nominal GDP growth is accelerating on unabated fiscal spending, sticky inflation, real growth, AI capex and broader infrastructure demand for capital; this creates a secular rise in bond yields, with tougher central banks and sticky inflation reinforcing higher yields.
US10Y LONG
Equities vulnerable if Treasury yields hit 5.5%.
S&P 500 earnings forecasts have been upgraded substantially and support equities, but the equity risk premium is much more expensive now; a 10-year Treasury yield of 5.5% is his threshold above which equities start to be tapped because rising yields overwhelm earnings support.
SPY WATCH
Yen rises when BOJ accelerates hikes.
The Bank of Japan is moving too slowly on normalization and would need to raise rates to 2% faster than its end-2027 path or the yen goes to 170; intervention may cause volatility, but the next CFTC position has turned slightly long yen and the real fundamental yen rise comes when the BOJ accelerates rate hikes.
FXY WATCH
Gallium market tight after China controls.
Gallium is a roughly 1,000 ton/year global market with China controlling about 950 tons; after China's 2023 export ban most Chinese material disappeared and prices climbed. Refiners hesitated because China could reopen and flood the market, so secure supply requires a government floor or very competitive cost, keeping the market tight and strategically valued.
GALLIUM LONG
European energy faces very tough winter.
European LNG and power markets are becoming critical again and resemble late 2022/early 2023; European power prices have already gone through the roof, and unless something gives in the Gulf or Ukraine, Europe faces a very tough winter.
UNG LONG European power prices LONG
HIGH
09:40
Sep 07
EWY N225 KBA FLIP UNG 1ST SFTBY
GPT-6 reignites AI compute/memory trade.
OpenAI's GPT-6 can use software like a human, reigniting the case for computer processing power and memory after a lull; Korea is the cleaner positioning and Japan is also participating in the rally.
EWY LONG N225 LONG
China bank recap supports share-price gains.
China is injecting about $45 billion into its largest banks through special bonds; while credit demand remains weak, the street is leaning into recapitalization and expects more easing and share-price increases in the sector.
KBA LONG
European gas faces winter supply risk.
Gulf LNG exports have been running at much lower levels because fewer owners are willing to transit the Strait of Hormuz; Europe needs to refill storage before winter, and any refill shortfall will pressure gas prices higher.
UNG LONG
SoftBank rallies on direct OpenAI stake.
SoftBank is up nearly 10% because it is directly correlated to its OpenAI stake, making it a specific Asia AI beneficiary.
SFTBY LONG
Strait escalation pushes Brent higher.
US-Iran tit-for-tat tanker strikes and escalation in the Strait of Hormuz are pushing Brent toward $100; Goldman Sachs warns Brent could reach $120 if the escalation continues.
BNO LONG
Novartis falls on failed heart drug.
Novartis's heart disease drug failed a late-stage trial, removing a potential breakthrough and driving the stock lower after it had been high earlier in the week.
NVS AVOID
AI demand outpaces constrained supply.
AI demand is picking up and accelerating based on OpenAI and Anthropic reports, while supply remains constrained; therefore the AI trade should continue flourishing, with the key risk being demand fragility or a sudden China-driven supply flood.
SMH LONG
EssilorLuxottica restructuring watch.
EssilorLuxottica is streamlining operations and senior management while increasing focus on smart glasses and North America; the stock has underperformed luxury peers, putting this restructuring into investor focus.
EssilorLuxottica WATCH
AstraZeneca wins FDA cancer-drug approval.
AstraZeneca is outperforming Novartis and the broader healthcare space after its breast cancer pill received accelerated FDA approval.
AZN LONG
Nordex leveraged to AI energy demand.
Nordex tends to trade with the AI theme because of its exposure to the energy side of AI demand, and it also has an upgrade; it is outperforming as part of the AI-winners basket.
Nordex LONG
European long-end yields have upside risk.
European political risks, including the German state election result and upcoming elections, make him worried that long-term European bond yields have room to move higher.
IGOV SHORT
Term premium room to rise further.
US term premium is only around 17 basis points versus a long-term average near 105 basis points, so there is much more room for term premium and long-end rate volatility to rise, especially with deficits, inflation and political risk.
TLT SHORT
Ten-year Treasury could reach 5%.
The long end is the main story; if the Fed does not hike, that could put more upward pressure on long-term yields, with the 10-year Treasury possibly reaching 5% as real yields rise on strong growth.
IEF SHORT
France is new Italy for bonds.
France has become the new Italy with yields and spreads at similar levels; French political tensions will continue and the bond market will have no ECB support, making French government bonds vulnerable.
OAT SHORT
Yen supported; watch USDJPY 155.
The yen is being supported by talk of Japanese intervention and repatriation flows, but the BOJ is not a reliable channel for further gains; the setup is to watch whether USD/JPY pitches toward 155 and below.
USD/JPY WATCH
Selective China tech moats still attractive.
China tech is making localization progress despite export controls and can launch competitive AI models; companies with real entry barriers, heavy capital requirements or special licenses can grow into valuations over three years, while margin-eroding commodity-like areas such as robotics are riskier.
China technology equities LONG
HIGH
09:13
Sep 07
USD/KRW SPY 1ST Korean Semiconductors IEF 1ST US Big Tech
USD/KRW likely falls to 1,320 then pauses.
Korea's strong exports mean the won's appreciation is fundamentally correct, but the speed was extreme. USD/KRW broke a seven-year support line around 1,410, and he sees the first retracement target near 1,320, where it should pause before any further won strengthening.
USD/KRW SHORT
US S&P 500 and big tech favored.
He favors US equities and big tech as AI development continues. He says the S&P 500 index is good, and big tech is currently resting near term rather than breaking down.
SPY LONG US Big Tech LONG
Korean semis can rebound but limited.
Korean semiconductor stocks have already fallen more than US big tech and can rebound, but heavy overhead supply will likely cap the rebound initially.
Korean Semiconductors LONG
Avoid long bonds, buy short-term bonds.
He is negative on long-term government bonds because buyers like pension funds and insurers have no need to buy them while yields are rising, and fiscal worries are just an excuse. If the trend continues, the US 10-year yield can reach 5%, so he prefers short-term bonds.
IEF AVOID SHY LONG
KOSPI capped near 2,700 until Fed turns.
KOSPI is positive but faces a supply wall around 2,700. Breaking that wall requires time and a more dovish Fed turn, so he suggests defensive positioning now and turning aggressive after late October around the midterm elections.
EWY WATCH
Yen weakness persists, fade BOJ spikes.
The yen's weakening trend will not be reversed by BOJ rate hikes or Japanese government actions because the structural yen carry pool is historically large and mostly invested in North American assets. Any BOJ-driven yen spike or equity drop should be faded.
USD/JPY LONG
Buy gold on pullbacks when attractive.
Gold is one of his preferred assets. After rallying from lows and getting knocked back down, he recommends steadily buying gold when price merit appears.
GLD LONG
HIGH
08:30
Sep 07
000660.KS MU IGV 1ST NVDA 005930.KS
GPT-6 agent reignites AI memory demand.
SK Hynix local shares are trading at an unreasonable discount to US memory peers. Before today's rally, SK Hynix ADR traded at a 44% premium to the local share, and SK Hynix local shares traded at a 44% valuation discount to Micron even though SK Hynix is in a stronger position. Historically, the maximum discount has been around 50%, so the current gap is extreme. With foreigners buying Korean memory aggressively and retail selling heavily, the valuation gap should narrow, so investors should not sell SK Hynix or Samsung Electronics just for a 5-10% gain unless they have urgent cash needs.
000660.KS LONG 005930.KS LONG
GPT-6 agent reignites AI memory demand.
OpenAI's Astra, known as GPT-6, changes AI competition from cheap token generation to reliable end-to-end task completion. Because a model with an 80% per-step success rate over eight steps has only about a 17% completion probability, while a 90% model reaches about 43%, total task cost matters more than token price. This pushes Google, Anthropic, and others to re-invest in high-spec training and inference compute, meaning more GPUs and DRAM/memory are needed, supporting the AI hardware and memory semiconductor rebound.
MU LONG NVDA LONG
Reduce software, favor AI hardware.
From late June through mid-August, software stocks benefited from falling token prices because lower token costs improved AI service economics. But after GPT-6, the market focus has shifted from token price to end-to-end task completion quality, so the trade has rotated back toward AI hardware and memory. Software exposure should be reduced in favor of AI hardware.
IGV AVOID
HIGH
08:05
Sep 07
AIQ 1ST NVDA KS BHI KEPCO E&C
AI infrastructure all moves together
The Astra event is a regime shift for AI infrastructure, not a one-day memory trade: memory, GPUs, power grid and networking should continue moving together as investors recognize that AGI/agentic AI locks in a demand loop; only a macro shock such as a rate-hike scare should produce a major AI infrastructure pullback.
AIQ LONG NVDA LONG
Astra spurs AI hardware memory demand
Korean memory shares are trading at an extreme valuation gap: before today SK Hynix local shares were about 44% discounted versus Micron despite HBM leadership, while SK Hynix ADR was near normal; today's move narrowed that discount to about 35%, so local Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix still have mean-reversion upside as global investors reprice memory.
KS LONG
Data center power demand fuels sector
AI data center power demand is driving a broad power equipment/nuclear/construction trade: grid equipment remains in shortage, nuclear orders are expected, and names like Doosan Enerbility, BHI, KEPCO E&C and Hyosung Heavy Industries are moving as funds rotate from secondary batteries into power.
BHI LONG KEPCO E&C LONG 298040.KS LONG
Semicap equipment stocks bottom fishing
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials stocks are starting a bottom-fishing/key-matching move after sharp declines; Doosan Tesna rose about 12%, Hanmi Semiconductor is trying to build a base, and HPSP is attempting a V-shaped rebound, but overhead supply is heavy so the next test is whether they can break through.
KQ WATCH
Robot stocks need follow-up catalysts
Robotics sector is an event-driven watch: Microduck pre-orders and robot actuator suppliers initially boosted names like Robotis, but Tesla's delayed Optimus mass production and robotaxi regulatory uncertainty have taken away near-term momentum, so it is better to wait for follow-up sales data.
277810.KQ WATCH
Glass substrate demo event watch
Glass substrate equipment is at a potential inflection: Philoptics hit the upper limit on plans to publicly demonstrate TGV drilling and 2mm glass at the KPCA show, which could eventually replace silicon interposers, but big adopters such as Nvidia and AMD have not confirmed, so this is a show-driven watch rather than a confirmed long.
161580.KQ WATCH 011790.KS WATCH
KOSPI futures/options point upward
KOSPI has a strong short-term directional setup: foreigners and institutions bought together, individuals sold, futures closed with a widened 4.5-point contango basis, and call buying/put selling/futures buying all point to next-day upside follow-through, though the 7,000 area has overhead supply.
EWY LONG KOSPI 200 futures LONG
HIGH
07:17
Sep 07
US Treasury Curve Flattening ECB rate expectations USD/JPY
Hot CPI extends Treasury curve flattening
Strong payrolls leave the Fed focused on inflation, and CPI is the big event because the labor market will not hold the Fed back. The market is more sensitive to a hot print, which would probably seal a September Fed hike and extend the Treasury curve flattening seen since Friday; a softer CPI would scale back hawkish pricing but leave the market clinging to some chance of a Fed hike, capping any steepening.
US Treasury Curve Flattening LONG
ECB rates sensitive to dovish Lagarde
The ECB decision itself is a lock, so the interaction is about forward guidance. Economists think this week will be the final hike because the inflation shock is supply-side, while the market is more focused on the mechanical link from higher energy prices to more rate hikes and is pricing another 50bp beyond this week. With that market pricing stretched, European rates are more sensitive to dovish Lagarde comments, especially any hint of a pause or growth concerns.
ECB rate expectations WATCH
Watch USD/JPY push toward 155
The yen is being supported by Japan selling Treasuries to fund intervention and by potentially substantial pension-fund repatriation. However, the BOJ is likely a reluctant hiker and cannot be counted on as a channel for further yen gains, so the focus is watching whether USD/JPY can push toward 155 and below, with US CPI later in the week a key swing factor.
USD/JPY WATCH
HIGH
07:07
Sep 07
UNG 1ST KOSPI 000660.KS CQQQ 1ST KBA FLIP
US-Iran escalation pressures energy prices.
The U.S. sinking an Iranian tanker and Iran retaliating against U.S.-linked vessels signal that short-term hostilities in the tanker arena are worsening, which will almost certainly put further upward pressure on energy prices.
UNG LONG BNO LONG
GPT Six AI optimism lifts Asian tech.
New GPT Six capabilities and progress toward AGI are driving broad AI optimism across Asia's tech supply chain, with Korea leading up 4% on SK Hynix, MediaTek gaining on custom hyperscaler chips, and SoftBank rising as a direct OpenAI play.
KOSPI LONG 000660.KS LONG 2454.TW LONG SFTBY LONG
China bank dilution rotates into tech.
China's huge capital injection into banks, funded by share placements, is diluting bank and insurance shares and keeping bank-heavy MSCI China weak, while the market rotates into China tech, which is benefiting from AI optimism.
CQQQ LONG KBA AVOID Chinese Insurance Companies AVOID MCHI AVOID
Watch yen and JGBs into CPI.
The BOJ is expected to act to stem the yen's slide, Goldman sees conditions for a technical rally in the yen, and there are signs Japanese investors may trim JGB holdings to fund repatriation, so JGBs and the yen are worth watching into U.S. CPI.
JGBUX WATCH
Treasury supply pressures long-end yields.
Heavy Treasury auctions and buybacks this week will create volatility, with traders likely pushing prices up into the buyback and then reversing, while the 30-year auction after the buyback pressures the long end most sensitive to mortgage rates and gradually pushes yields higher.
U.S. 30-Year Treasury Bond SHORT
Dollar confidence weakened by debasement.
Dollar confidence has weakened after the poor dollar reaction to strong payrolls and the dollar-debasement discussion, and while a stronger CPI may provide a temporary boost via Fed hike expectations, the dollar is looking wobblier than in the spring and summer.
DXY AVOID
Watch yen and JGBs into CPI.
The yen's significant move without intervention suggests markets see Japanese fundamentals as strong enough for a sustained stronger yen, and if the BOJ follows through with a hawkish turn or hike while the Fed holds, the yen would strengthen further, but if the BOJ fails to act the yen is vulnerable.
FXY WATCH
AfD rise threatens German investment.
AfD policies such as leaving Europe, rejecting immigration, opposing renewables, and returning to Russian gas would cause a huge drop in German GDP, a large rise in unemployment, and would destroy Germany's economic model.
EWG AVOID
Bardella red lines support French debt.
Bardella says National Rally will firmly oppose tax increases on French households and businesses and rejects debt cancellation, arguing France must restore confidence with creditors and return to fiscal legitimacy and stability.
OAT WATCH
HIGH
07:00
Sep 07
CNBC
WTI UAL
Fuel and oil prices stay much elevated.
Kirby does not expect fuel/oil prices to return to early 2026 levels; he hopes they get lower but thinks they will stay much elevated into 2027, keeping jet fuel costs high.
WTI LONG
Fall airline demand remains unusually strong.
United Airlines is not seeing a fall shoulder-season slowdown: bookings show no blip in demand, with both business and leisure demand strong across the board, and October has become one of United's best months of the year.
UAL LONG
HIGH
07:00
Sep 07
MU NVDA 9984.T 1ST TSM 1ST 005930.KS
New AI models drive sharp memory demand
OpenAI's GPT-6 and Anthropic's Claude Opus 5.1 / Astra upgrade cycle feels like the 2023 ChatGPT moment and shows models approaching AGI; AI diffusion means more AI fixed-cost usage, and because memory is the store-and-transmit layer, memory demand should expand sharply.
MU LONG
Nscale's 100,000 Vera Rubin deal boosts Nvidia
Nscale, a UK neocloud backed by Nvidia, announced a strategic relationship with Figure AI and a contract to use up to 100,000 Nvidia Vera Rubin platforms for humanoid robot training; although humanoid robots are not yet mainstream, this is a large AI GPU demand signal because each rack is extremely expensive and 60-70% above Blackwell, and it illustrates Nvidia directing neocloud customers toward its chips via equity stakes.
NVDA LONG
SoftBank rallies as OpenAI worries fade
SoftBank Group holds an 11% OpenAI stake and is the key financing partner for Stargate US; the stock has pulled back from its June peak, but GPT-6 removes much of the OpenAI worry, so SoftBank should rally as an OpenAI proxy with near-one correlation and as the AI data-center funding vehicle.
9984.T LONG
Chip arms race benefits memory and TSMC
Nvidia's newly disclosed data-center mix shows hyperscale revenue of about $48.7B and 'other' AI cloud/industrial/enterprise/neocloud revenue of about $40B, which doubled sequentially and uses only Nvidia solutions; hyperscalers are becoming custom-chip competitors, but the resulting two-way AI chip competition is structurally very good for memory semiconductors and TSMC no matter which camp wins.
TSM LONG
AI IPOs extend data-center investment cycle
A September 3 White House document imposes tariffs on imported Nvidia and AMD chips but has exemptions for US supply-chain competitiveness and waives tariffs once a company announces US factory construction; Korean memory names may look disadvantaged without announced US memory fabs, but if they announce fabs they become tariff-free, so tariff-driven drops in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix should be viewed as opportunities.
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
Oracle earnings test AI infrastructure weak link
Oracle is the weak link in the AI infrastructure trade; its stock has already fallen sharply and its earnings on the 10th are very important because financing costs and credit spreads have risen for AI infrastructure names, so Oracle's results are a key sentiment check on the AI capex trade.
ORCL WATCH
HIGH
06:55
Sep 07
000660.KS 2454.TW SFTBY KWEB FLIP Hong Kong/China banking index
AI compute/memory demand powers Asia tech.
GPT-6 from OpenAI is seen driving a wider range of AI workloads, increasing demand for processing power and memory. This is powering strong gains in Japan, Korea and Taiwan tech, with SK Hynix leveraged to memory, MediaTek to custom compute chips for US hyperscalers, and SoftBank to OpenAI as a market-traded proxy.
000660.KS LONG 2454.TW LONG SFTBY LONG
Stimulus helps China tech; placements weigh banks.
China's bank capital injection via large share placements is creating overhang that weighs on Hong Kong's banking index, while the rest of the market interprets the move as stimulus and combines it with a tech upgrade cycle, supporting gains outside banks.
KWEB LONG Hong Kong/China banking index AVOID
Copper demand breaks Aussie dollar higher.
The Australian dollar is breaking out because of rampant demand for copper, which has replaced iron ore as the key driver for Australia.
AUD LONG COPPER LONG
AI story keeps Korean won strong.
The Korean won has strengthened significantly on the AI macro story, and Goldman Sachs sees scope for continued strength against the Indian rupee and Indonesian rupiah.
Korean won vs Indian rupee LONG Korean won vs Indonesian rupiah LONG
Hormuz disruption lifts oil and diesel.
The US and Iran are locked in an endless tit-for-tat escalation with no clear off-ramp, so oil prices should continue grinding higher in a slow and steady climb. The products market reflects actual tightness more than crude futures, with Atlantic diesel near $200 a barrel and crude futures understating the scarcity likely in coming weeks and months.
DIESEL LONG BNO LONG
Treasuries attractive for income near 5%.
If the higher-for-longer regime persists, equities tend to outperform bonds because investors need inflation protection and the equity earnings story is strong, with roughly 30% earnings growth even after one-off adjustments.
TLT LONG SPY LONG
Oil grinds higher; products show true tightness.
The US and Iran are locked in an endless tit-for-tat escalation with no clear off-ramp, so oil prices should continue grinding higher in a slow and steady climb. The products market reflects actual tightness more than crude futures, with Atlantic diesel near $200 a barrel and crude futures understating the scarcity likely in coming weeks and months.
WTI LONG
Bitcoin $80k sustainability is key watch.
Bitcoin is hovering near $80,000 after massive inflows into Bitcoin ETFs in August; whether it can sustain above $80,000 is a key watch point with US cash trading closed and CPI looming.
BTC WATCH
HIGH
06:45
Sep 07
BNO DIESEL
Brent could hit $120 on escalation.
Renewed US-Iran tit-for-tat tanker strikes in the Strait of Hormuz are escalating, with Iran's IRGC warning its response will no longer be proportionate; Brent is already near $100 and Goldman Sachs warns it could reach $120 if the tit-for-tat escalations continue.
BNO LONG
US diesel remains the key story.
The price discrepancy between crude oil and refined products is continuing, and US diesel remains the key story, implying continued strength or tightness in US diesel relative to crude.
DIESEL WATCH
HIGH
06:28
Sep 07
NVDA AAPL 069500.KS 005930.KS 000660.KS
Keep buying top market-cap leaders
Capital income outpaces labor income, so investors should convert labor income into capital assets. The simplest implementation is to keep buying the world's largest market-cap leader or Korea's largest market-cap leader, historically NVIDIA, Apple, and Samsung Electronics.
NVDA LONG AAPL LONG
Buy KODEX 200 on extreme dips
KODEX 200, which tracks KOSPI 200, is the safest Korean equity vehicle because it eliminates single-stock risk and the scenario where the market rises but an individual stock lags. The speaker says to buy aggressively when the index falls to 5-year or 10-year average levels and to use leverage only at those extreme cheap points, not when the market is overheated.
069500.KS LONG
Keep buying top market-cap leaders
OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra release and Jensen Huang's declaration that AGI has arrived intensify AI model competition, which is expected to expand HBM and broader semiconductor demand. This drove buying into Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix and related semiconductor names; the original framing was 'do not doubt semiconductors.'
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
HIGH
06:05
Sep 07
NVDA 1ST CRM 1ST AI software SPY BABA 1ST
NVIDIA revenue reaccelerates 70% next year
NVIDIA is guiding for as much as 70% year-over-year growth next year, which represents a re-acceleration of already strong revenue growth and supports the AI equity trade.
NVDA LONG
AI software monetization benefits Salesforce
Open-source AI models are cheaper and benefit users, so software companies can generate more revenue and improve productivity; Salesforce reported strong earnings and a pickup in AI-generated revenue, making AI software a forward area.
CRM LONG AI software LONG
Earnings and AI support equities rally
With strong growth keeping inflation above target regardless of Fed action, equities should outperform bonds; the best near-term hedge is to remain in equities rather than traditional safe-haven bonds even though bond yields are high.
SPY LONG
China credit injection supports tech AI
China's bank recapitalization and credit injection can boost credit creation by an estimated 1% to 1.5% of GDP, and it arrives as Chinese technology companies need capital for AI infrastructure; Alibaba's share placement illustrates the capital need.
BABA LONG Chinese technology LONG
Oil upward but $100 is key
Oil prices are higher but so far within the range of recent months; a move above $100 would be the level that concerns markets, and the current rise is more gradual than dramatic.
WTI WATCH
JGB 3% may force BOJ intervention
JGB yields approaching 3% is an important level for the BOJ to defend; if the BOJ does not intervene a second time, USD/JPY will quickly test 160, which Japan wants to avoid.
USD/JPY WATCH JGB WATCH
EM bonds outperform US Treasuries
Emerging market bonds are serving as a safe haven because emerging markets have practiced fiscal prudence and benefited from commodity prices, while developed markets keep issuing debt and AI borrowing competes with bonds; US Treasuries have gone nowhere and face continued pressure.
Emerging market bonds LONG
Asia bonds supported by domestic strength
Asia is coming from a position of strength with rates already raised, investment spending in Korea and Taiwan, 70-80% domestic ownership of local bonds, and limited bond supply after risk management following China's property crisis.
Asian local currency bonds LONG
DM long-end bonds face risk premium
Uncertainty around fiscal and monetary policy, especially Fed Chair Warsh's lack of forward guidance, is making investors demand higher risk premium and is causing the selloff in developed market long-end bonds.
US long-end Treasuries AVOID Developed market bonds AVOID
Asian credit default risk is low
Asian credit balance sheets have strengthened through prior financial crises; the JPMorgan corporate bond index has only about 20% high yield, limiting insolvency and default risk, and Asia remains insulated.
Asian credit LONG
Private credit is developed market risk
The developed market private credit space is a key risk because loan and structure transparency is unclear, while Asia is insulated because much issuance has been done in local markets.
BIZD WATCH
Asian IG offers 5.5-6% carry
Asia investment grade bonds now yield 5.5% to 6%, so investors can earn carry without taking single-B or double-B solvency risk, making fixed income supportive for income portfolios.
Asian investment grade bonds LONG
Credit spreads tight; lower carry returns
Carry trades remain alive in global fixed income, but credit spreads are very tight relative to history, so this is not the obvious time to jump into credit and investors should reduce return expectations from past exceptional years.
Global credit AVOID
Asian currencies resilient on AI flows
Asian currencies are stable and resilient this cycle because AI investment is supporting Korea and Taiwan, and dollar-debasement talk is helping diversify dollar portfolios into Asian currencies.
Asian currencies LONG
Indian bonds attractive medium term
Indian bonds have stabilized and offer attractive medium-term risk/reward even though the Indian rupee struggles because India is a large oil importer.
EMLC LONG
Asian high yield attractive lower duration
Asian high-yield bonds remain attractive because they have lower duration, investors buying 3-5 year bonds get reimbursed sooner, and stable volatility supports credit as long as central banks move gradually.
Asian high-yield bonds LONG
Prefer Chinese yuan over Chinese bonds
Chinese government bond yields are too low to be attractive in a global portfolio by themselves, but the Chinese yuan is interesting because it has been appreciating steadily and has optionality from a potential US-China revaluation deal.
CBON AVOID CNY LONG
Chinese yuan and corporate bonds attractive
Chinese corporate and local RMB bonds are attractive because domestic ownership limits rate volatility, RMB markets are up 3-4%, and hedging a 10-year Chinese corporate bond back to dollars provides carry without US rate volatility.
Chinese corporate bonds LONG
Diversify from Treasuries into Asia
US political involvement and potential yield capping make Treasuries less attractive, so global investors should diversify outside the US and Asian markets are interesting in those circumstances.
Asian Bonds LONG
Prefer equities over bonds as hedge
Emerging market bonds are serving as a safe haven because emerging markets have practiced fiscal prudence and benefited from commodity prices, while developed markets keep issuing debt and AI borrowing competes with bonds; US Treasuries have gone nowhere and face continued pressure.
TLT AVOID
HIGH
06:00
Sep 07
Korean semiconductor sector EWY KRW Korean power infrastructure URA 1ST
AI compute demand makes Korean semis buyable
Falling AI token costs should expand total computing demand because cheaper tokens let businesses use many more tokens, so semiconductor earnings can keep growing; Korean semiconductor companies are cheap, and the industry export driver should last through 2028-2030, making sector corrections buying opportunities.
Korean semiconductor sector LONG
Foreign buying and retail selling favor KOSPI
Foreign inflows into KOSPI and futures are increasing, with institutions also buying while retail investors are selling heavily; the speaker treats this as the healthiest supply backdrop, and with the won stable, the market does not need to be pessimistic unless the Fed actually hikes rates.
EWY LONG
Hold 30-40% cash for dip-buying
He recommends keeping about 30-40% of the portfolio in cash, especially for investors who are fully invested, because cash provides psychological stability to hold long-term positions through volatility and firepower to buy corrections before Chuseok and similar shakeouts.
KRW LONG
Power shortage favors nuclear, fuel cells, geothermal
Power infrastructure remains a shortage theme: nuclear is strong, renewables are acceptable, SOFC fuel-cell names are getting attention after Pelosi-linked investment reports, and geothermal is attractive as an underappreciated, environmentally friendly power source with Google investment; these work as satellite positions around a semiconductor core.
Korean power infrastructure LONG URA LONG SOFC fuel cell sector LONG GEOTHERMAL ENERGY LONG
Samsung and SK hynix technical breakout bullish
Samsung Electronics and SK hynix are the leading semiconductor names seeing concentrated foreign buying; both have broken technical resistance after a range, suggesting the prior box range can be escaped, with downside supported by Samsung buybacks and the upside target being a move through Samsung Electronics' previous high around 285,000 won.
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
LG Electronics robot-theme breakout buyable
Within the robotics theme, LG Electronics is relatively strong; it has broken above its 20-day moving average resistance and is digesting supply at the breakout level, and if it holds after a brief pullback it can deliver short-term upside powered by the robot theme.
066570.KS LONG
Humanoid robotics buoyed by AI and demographics
Humanoid robotics is a long-term theme because global deaths are now exceeding births and labor replacement is increasingly needed; AI is accelerating robots from simple programmed tasks to autonomous judgment, and capital raising and news flow from firms like Unitree and Figure support continued expansion of the theme.
Korean robotics sector LONG
Wonik Holdings offers robot-hand value chain opportunity
Among robot names, large-cap value-chain companies with real exposure matter; Wonik Holdings is cited as a leader in robot-hand-related technology, and after the market reset it offers another investable opportunity as the robot trend gains momentum.
030530.KQ LONG
HIGH
05:23
Sep 07
SMH 1ST URA 1ST SPY 1ST EWY 1ST EWT 1ST
AI hardware demand supports semiconductor overweight.
He rotated from software back into semiconductor hardware because AI hardware earnings and future growth guidance are exceptionally strong; valuations are not cheap but continued compounding makes hardware attractive, so he remains overweight and adds on corrections.
SMH LONG
AI power demand favors nuclear energy.
He likes the entire energy play needed to power AI data centers and specifically likes nuclear energy because it will be required as AI infrastructure expands.
URA LONG
US leads AI; Korea, Taiwan attractive.
He remains overweight U.S. equities because real AI innovation originates there, sees South Korea and Taiwan as attractive Asian AI plays, and says Japan continues to be left out because its AI innovation is not comparable yet.
SPY LONG EWY LONG EWT LONG EWJ AVOID
Derivatives offer better China upside exposure.
Investors are shifting away from crowded AI cash trades and using Chinese equity derivatives for targeted upside exposure to onshore China because volatility has fallen, cash equity conviction is low, and a more sustained long appetite is now based on pricing.
FXI LONG
China AI hardware rally already priced in.
Chinese equities are not being rewarded after strong earnings because the good news is already priced in; STAR 50 and CSI 300 showed profit-taking, and investors are looking beyond the crowded AI hardware trade as property and consumer weakness persist.
STAR 50 Index AVOID CSI 300 Index AVOID
Jon
Oil risk premium may rise further.
U.S.-Iranian tanker attacks are escalating and commercial energy shipping is becoming a direct target; while the loss of three tankers is small, the broader threat to oil flows and the Strait of Hormuz could push the oil risk premium higher if disruptions extend.
BNO WATCH
Front-run Treasury buyback, then fade.
Treasury traders are likely to front-run the U.S. Treasury bond buyback by pushing up long-end prices into the announcement, but bond prices tend to fall afterward once the buying is done, similar to BOJ operations, because the buyback does not change fundamentals; a surprise such as canceling 30-year auctions could alter the setup.
U.S. Long-End Treasuries WATCH
Go Taxi leads underpenetrated app market.
Go's growth runway is large because Japanese taxi app penetration is only about 20% versus 70-90% in other global cities, Go's lead over rivals is widening, and robotaxis are a positive because autonomous vehicles require app-based dispatch, favoring Go.
Go Taxi LONG
Philippine reforms improve investment outlook.
The Philippines is attracting record investment approvals and has passed reforms that open airports, telecom, renewables, and critical minerals to foreign investors; with investment grade ratings and JPMorgan bond index inclusion, the country is a more conducive investment destination.
EPHE LONG
JPMorgan index inclusion boosts Philippine bonds.
Philippine government bonds are set to join the JPMorgan bond index for the first time, which widens the investor base and reduces government borrowing costs, a positive for Philippine fixed income.
Philippine government bonds LONG
HIGH
05:20
Sep 07
Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE NGE
Dangote refinery IPO expected well received
The Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE IPO is Nigeria's largest ever at $1.6 billion, valuing the company near $50 billion, far above Airtel Africa's roughly $16 billion market value. The offering opens September 14 and is widely anticipated, with strong market expectation it will be well received.
Dangote Petroleum Refinery and Petrochemicals FZE WATCH
Dangote IPO deepens Nigerian equity market
The Dangote listing is a major positive for Nigeria's equity market: it would take total market capitalization toward $200 billion, could encourage other large Nigerian companies to list, and coincides with FTSE Russell considering Nigeria for its frontier index, which may add liquidity and attract foreign investors.
NGE WATCH
MED
03:42
Sep 07
ETH 1ST SOL 1ST XRP 1ST MSTL 1ST Bitcoin 2x/3x leveraged ETFs
Avoid altcoins; Bitcoin leadership wins.
In the current winner-take-all regime, chasing second- or third-place altcoins is a poor strategy. Just as Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix led while laggards disappointed, if Bitcoin rallies, directly owning Bitcoin should outperform trying to back altcoin followers such as Ethereum, Solana, and Ripple.
ETH AVOID SOL AVOID XRP AVOID
Avoid leveraged Bitcoin ETFs; hold spot.
Leveraged short-term trading is a wealth destroyer for most people: only about 0.01% make money while most blow up, and leverage creates principal-loss risk that forces investors to obsess over timing. Instead of leveraged Bitcoin/MSTR products such as MSTL, investors should own spot Bitcoin.
MSTL AVOID Bitcoin 2x/3x leveraged ETFs AVOID
Watch Bitcoin treasury winners and preferreds.
Bitcoin treasury companies are the strongest current Bitcoin trend, and the market is now differentiating winners after Strategy and Metaplanet. Strive Asset Management (ASST) and its SAT preferred are in focus because SAT pays a dividend-like feature, has already returned to its $100 par value, and has risen sharply. The conference's major theme is picking the next Bitcoin treasury and financial-product winner, and these companies' Bitcoin buying could extend the Bitcoin bid.
Metaplanet WATCH ASST WATCH MSTR WATCH
Buy spot Bitcoin steadily, avoid timing.
Bitcoin has averaged about 50% annual returns over the past decade, which could double capital in roughly 1.5 years under the rule of 72. Liquidity is inevitably being expanded and Bitcoin is the most honest, fastest-responding market to that liquidity, so investors should accumulate spot Bitcoin regularly rather than trying to time entries or chase leveraged short-term trades. Even if H2 lacks catalysts, Clarity Act passage could allow a year-end retest of the prior high; otherwise Bitcoin may hold around $80,000 and start the next bull move next year, so current levels are still buyable accumulation levels.
BTC LONG
HIGH
03:41
Sep 07
FXY 1ST 005930.KS CXMT 1ST Japanese semiconductor supply chain Go Inc.
BOJ repricing and repatriation support yen.
Goldman Sachs sees a stronger case for being tactically long the yen after its rally. A September BOJ hike is more than fully priced, there is speculation of faster consecutive hikes, and a possible GPIF allocation shift or repatriation is putting a floor under the yen. USD/JPY levels to watch are 155.2 then 155; a clean break below 155 could open a move toward 150 as outstanding yen shorts unwind.
FXY LONG
GPT-6 boosts memory and AI hardware.
OpenAI's GPT-6 long-form productivity expands the addressable universe of AI use cases and increases memory usage, reigniting the AI hardware trade. The DRAM ETF rose 6% and SK Hynix ADR rose 8%, with Korean memory and Taiwan/China memory plays likely to benefit from stronger memory demand.
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
Buy chipmakers on revenue-acceleration pullbacks.
Tech and chip manufacturers are attractive on pullbacks because Broadcom and CXMT are showing accelerating revenue, and the market may be underestimating the current semiconductor cycle uptick.
CXMT LONG AVGO LONG
Japanese semis may revert versus banks.
Japan's semiconductor supply chain has lagged Japanese banks sharply; with AI momentum from GPT-6, there is a potential reversion trade as that ratio normalizes back toward semiconductors.
Japanese semiconductor supply chain WATCH
Low taxi-app penetration drives Go growth.
Go's biggest growth opportunity is the low app penetration rate in Japan's taxi market, around 20% versus 70-90% overseas. Competitors like Uber are not closing the gap, and autonomous vehicles would force app-based booking, structurally raising app penetration and directly benefiting Go.
Go Inc. LONG
Chinese bank rally deserves second look.
Chinese banks have been strong this year with the big three trading at records, and they are using high share prices to recapitalize, creating capital buffers for net interest margins and solvency. Most global investors missed the Chinese bank rally, which has outpaced U.S. and European bank rallies, so the dilution may be a second-look opportunity.
KBA LONG
Gold is a geopolitical debasement hedge.
Gold's price trend remains supportive, and it offers diversification and targeted hedging benefits. Central bank buying and a Fed rate-cutting outlook should help send gold prices higher.
GLD LONG
Treasury yields track oil direction.
U.S. Treasury yields are tracking oil prices. If Brent pushes past $100 on further Iran escalation, the 10-year yield could reach around 5%; if de-escalation pulls oil back, Treasury yields would likely fall as well.
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield WATCH
Copper remains structurally constructive.
Copper remains very constructive due to physical support, financial support from the debasement theme, the AI and hard-asset themes, and structural support from electrification-related demand driving about 50% of copper demand while mining supply is constrained.
COPPER LONG
Brent range hinges on Strait disruptions.
Crude oil prices hinge on Gulf oil exports. If flows normalize, Brent could be around $80, but if shipping disruptions broaden and intensify, Brent could reach $120. Recent events suggest the risk of broader shipping disruption is rising.
BNO WATCH
Use diesel margins as geopolitical hedge.
Investors should hedge geopolitical supply-shock risk by buying deferred diesel price exposure or margins, with global diesel margins at all-time highs and ongoing Middle East or Russia supply-chain restraints likely to keep them elevated.
Diesel crack spreads LONG
HIGH
03:20
Sep 07
SMH DBC CVX LNG 096770.KS
Rate uncertainty rotates into semiconductor certainty.
When strong payrolls revived Fed rate-hike fears, the market rotated into semiconductors as the 'certain' trade; hardware and software had alternated during the week, but Friday rate-hike pressure clearly favored semiconductor hardware.
SMH LONG
Resource nationalism keeps commodities supported.
War, trade barriers, blocked energy exports and resource weaponization are making commodity prices hard to fall; UBS recommends diversifying portfolios into commodities, and AI-related resource competition reinforces the medium-term commodity tape.
DBC LONG
Energy stocks benefit from tight markets.
Record US diesel refining margins and strong energy prices are lifting energy equities; Chevron and Cheniere Energy are making new highs, Korean SK Innovation exposure is rising, and Citadel is reportedly pursuing US oil assets.
CVX LONG LNG LONG 096770.KS LONG
Winter supply risk supports natural gas.
Europe has not refilled gas storage sufficiently, Russia-Ukraine strikes are hitting energy facilities, and LNG supply routes are constrained, so natural gas/LNG may face winter shortage pressures and is a key geopolitical trigger.
UNG LONG
Nvidia open-model M&A widens moat.
Nvidia's Hugging Face acquisition was viewed positively by Needham, which raised its target to $300; the move signals Nvidia's intent to dominate open-weight models and broaden its AI ecosystem, with additional hardware deployments to CoreWeave and Dell assembly.
NVDA LONG
Memory leadership already began in July.
Since late July, memory/storage names such as SanDisk, SK Hynix and Micron rose 20-40% even excluding Friday, showing institutional accumulation on fundamentals rather than a one-day rate-reaction spike.
SNDK LONG
US local steel plant hedges tariffs.
Hyundai Steel and POSCO are jointly building a Louisiana electric arc furnace steel plant to supply about 1.8 million tons of auto steel locally; 50% US steel tariffs and Hyundai Motor Group's US production make domestic steel-to-car-to-robot supply chain integration strategically valuable.
004020.KS LONG 005490.KS LONG
End-to-end AI progress accelerates memory demand.
Memory industry feedback shows HBM urgent orders increasing, server DRAM spot prices spiking from $3,000 to $3,600, Apple signing no-cap NAND LTA orders, and buyers desperate for volume, confirming strong memory pricing and long-term contracts.
000660.KS LONG 005930.KS LONG
Micron HBM capacity doubling boosts stock.
Memory industry feedback shows HBM urgent orders increasing, server DRAM spot prices spiking from $3,000 to $3,600, Apple signing no-cap NAND LTA orders, and buyers desperate for volume, confirming strong memory pricing and long-term contracts.
MU LONG
Korean semi equipment and materials momentum.
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials names finally moved after strong export evidence; EO Technics, Rino Industrial, Simmtech and PSK are leading as the market rotates into the semiconductor supply chain.
030200.KQ LONG Rino Industrial LONG 222800.KQ LONG PSK LONG
Robotis leads robot actuator exposure.
Robotis is the actuator leader for physical AI robots, each micro-bot uses about 15 actuators, Goldman Sachs set a 630,000 won target, and a break of the prior 313,000 won high would open additional upside.
108490.KQ LONG
Doosan benefits from high-spec CCL.
AI servers and data centers are driving upgrades to high-spec PCB materials, lifting CCL prices; Doosan is positioned as a domestic CCL leader and should see earnings expectations improve.
000150.KS LONG
Hanmi Semi positive near resistance.
Hanmi Semiconductor is positive as a TC bonder benefiting from HBM/TCB and US production, but the 275,000 won 120-day resistance is a tactical area; investors may hold or trim and watch for a volume breakout.
042700.KS LONG
HD HHI long-term uptrend remains intact.
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries has solid shipbuilding orders and AI-related power engine orders; the long-term uptrend remains intact, but near-term trading needs new order momentum, so long-term holders can stay while impatient investors may trim.
329180.KS LONG
APR may rebound on export strength.
APR's cosmetics exports to Europe and the US remain strong despite Singapore counterfeit concerns; if the stock holds its 120-day line and 380,000 won support, a rebound is possible.
APR WATCH
Q-cycle favors energy, construction, equipment.
The memory P-cycle peak is transitioning to the Q-cycle of actual volume, data center construction and fab buildouts; investors should rotate toward energy, construction, and semiconductor equipment/materials rather than only Samsung/SK Hynix.
XLE LONG XLB LONG Korean semiconductor equipment and materials LONG
Data center construction lifts select builders.
Non-residential construction orders, especially data centers and memory fabs, are rising; GS E&C, Samsung C&T and Hyundai E&C are positioned to benefit from simultaneous data center, memory fab and energy construction demand.
006360.KS LONG 028260.KS LONG Hyundai E&C LONG
Korean equipment ETF captures Q-cycle.
Imported semiconductor equipment investment has surged first, and Korean equipment makers should follow; investors without time for company visits can use a Korean semiconductor equipment ETF to capture the cycle.
UNR LONG
Samsung SDI wins from ESS strength.
CATL and BYD EPS paths show EV battery demand is weak while ESS is strong; Samsung SDI earns about 50% of large-battery revenue from ESS, so it can outperform the EV-skewed Korean battery sector next year.
006400.KS LONG
Tax rotation lifts Samsung Electro-Mechanics, LG Electronics.
Year-end capital gains tax avoidance selling in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix tends to flow into ETFs whose top non-memory holdings include Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Electronics, repeating a seasonal pattern that lifts those names.
009150.KS LONG
LG Electronics robot actuator momentum.
Year-end capital gains tax avoidance selling in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix tends to flow into ETFs whose top non-memory holdings include Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Electronics, repeating a seasonal pattern that lifts those names.
066570.KS LONG
Buy and hold Bitcoin spot.
Financial repression and liquidity expansion continue; Bitcoin responds most directly to liquidity and scarcity, produced about 50% average annual returns over the past decade, and should be accumulated in spot form rather than traded with leverage or exact timing.
BTC LONG
Watch Brent after US-Iran escalation.
Weekend US strikes on an Iranian oil transport ship and Iranian retaliation happened while oil markets were closed; with Brent near $95.8, the geopolitical escalation is not yet fully priced and oil should be watched on reopening.
BNO WATCH
HIGH
03:18
Sep 07
AI Semiconductors BTC WEAT 1ST ARB ZEC
AI semiconductor profit expectations rising
The newest ChatGPT version is seen as finally delivering genuine AI capability, which is spreading market expectations that AI semiconductor businesses can actually make money; this AI-driven optimism is supporting risk asset sentiment.
AI Semiconductors LONG
Bitcoin watching US inflation data
Bitcoin has been consolidating near $80,000 and briefly dropped below it after stronger-than-expected US payrolls. This week's PPI and CPI are the key variables because hot inflation would strengthen the case for higher rates and hurt risk assets such as Bitcoin, so the market is watching those prints closely.
BTC WATCH
Wheat rising on Russia-Ukraine supply risk
Russia and Ukraine remain a major geopolitical supply story. The region is a large wheat-producing area, diplomatic visits are not expected to produce a quick resolution, and wheat prices are rising as a result.
WEAT LONG
Arbitrum benefits from Robinhood chain revenue
Robinhood chain activity is supporting Arbitrum because Robinhood chain uses Arbitrum Layer 2 technology and reportedly gives about 10% of revenue to Arbitrum. ARB was among the gainers, though rising gas fees on Robinhood chain are a watchpoint for later retail adoption.
ARB LONG
Privacy coins rotate after Zcash surge
Zcash jumped about 40% weekly, surpassing Hyperliquid's market cap and entering the top 10, partly because demand for a Zcash-linked meme coin creates buying pressure for ZEC. That triggered a privacy-sector rotation into Dash and Horizen, but the trade is narrative-driven and can reverse if the story breaks.
ZEC WATCH ZEN WATCH DASH WATCH
DEX tokens rise on meme trading volumes
Meme coin trading is creating a picks-and-shovels opportunity for decentralized exchanges and chain ecosystems. Raydium's volume surged alongside Solana meme coins and its token rose 40-50% weekly, while BNB and CAKE rose as BNB Chain meme coins drove activity. The speaker notes DEX volumes generally increase regardless of which meme narrative wins.
RAY LONG CAKE LONG BNB LONG
Meme coin rally lacks new money
The current meme coin and altcoin surge is mostly rotation by existing crypto investors. Ark Invest data shows more than 90% of the money came from existing digital asset investors and less than 1% from Robinhood platform users, meaning new retail money has not entered yet and chasing the rally is risky.
Meme coins AVOID
New launchpad StonkFun gains from tokenization volume
StonkFun, a Solana-based launchpad, is up sharply because it tokenizes stocks and bundles external assets and meme coins into tradeable sets. That is increasing platform volume and creating upward pressure on its own platform token, while older launchpad liquidity such as pump.fun is losing traction.
STONK LONG
HIGH
03:00
Sep 07
SMH 005930.KS 000660.KS 108490.KQ SK Telecom
GPT-6/Astra efficacy forces more AI hardware spending.
The GPT-6/Astra AI agent is viewed as a breakout because its task-completion probability jumps from roughly 17-20% to 40-50%, making even much higher token costs economically acceptable when the AI does real work. That intensifies OpenAI-Anthropic competition and forces more AI hardware investment, especially at 100k-GPU training scale, so AI semiconductor and memory demand must rise.
SMH LONG
Memory rebound started; hold/add Samsung, Hynix.
The memory semiconductor rebound has begun: US-listed SK Hynix ADR, Micron, Seagate and SanDisk surged, and Korean names are following. Lee argues memory is the sector that can outperform even if rates rise, and says holders must not sell into the rebound, those without positions should add now, and those stuck at high prices should lower their average cost. He sees SK Hynix challenging 178,000 won and Samsung Electronics needing to settle above 27,000 won.
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG MU LONG
Robotis wins from Hugging Face robot parts.
Robotis is a direct beneficiary of the Hugging Face robot effect because it supplied key components to Hugging Face's duck-shaped bipedal robot, which is used for AI data collection and is now linked to NVIDIA. Institutional buying is concentrated in Robotis among non-semiconductor names, and the stock continues to rise.
108490.KQ LONG
SK Telecom benefits from Anthropic/data centers.
SK Telecom is both an Anthropic IPO beneficiary and a long-term AI data center owner. It has a six-month target of 110,000 won, Anthropic's delayed IPO should still happen and its valuation may exceed SpaceX at around 2 trillion dollars, Horizon stake sale proceeds are arriving, and it is building 15GW of data centers sequentially including Ulsan 100MW and Guro 75MW.
SK Telecom LONG 017670.KS LONG
NHN can grow neocloud with GPU expansion.
NHN is the smallest Korean neocloud company but the first to confirm data center potential with concrete capacity numbers; it plans 30MW of additional capacity by 2027. The company is a niche cash generator and could become a real Korean neocloud player if it secures more GPUs.
181710.KS LONG
Record refining margins boost Korean refining names.
US refinery utilization has reached 98% and global distillate, gasoline and lubricant margins are strong, with distillate prices at record highs. Korean refining-linked names benefit directly or indirectly: S-Oil and SK Innovation have refining operations, HD Hyundai owns HD Hyundai Oilbank, and GS owns GS Caltex.
010950.KS LONG 096770.KS LONG HD Hyundai LONG 267250.KS LONG GS LONG 078930.KS LONG
Foreign futures positioning favors KOSPI upside.
Ahead of the Thursday futures and options expiry, foreigners hold a net-up futures position while institutions are net-down, and Lee expects foreigners to win. He says foreign buying of futures and cash supports the market being held up into expiry, creating a short-term index and futures setup.
KOSPI 200 futures LONG
Hanmi Semiconductor gains from 2.5D packaging equipment.
Hanmi Semiconductor is gaining recognition after reports that it supplied new 2.5D packaging equipment to a global OSAT, adding an incremental growth driver beyond the memory rebound. Foreign and institutional investors bought heavily on Friday, suggesting institutions are positioning for this packaging-equipment story.
042700.KS LONG
Power shortage drives hydrogen fuel cell demand.
Data center builders face severe electricity shortages, so even expensive hydrogen fuel cells must be deployed. Doosan Fuel Cell is a direct beneficiary because Blue Energy's output is limited and demand is spilling over to Doosan Fuel Cell; Bumhan Fuel Cell is moving with the same fuel cell theme. Doosan Fuel Cell's earlier 500 billion won order initially failed to lift the stock but it has now recovered.
033260.KQ LONG 382900.KQ LONG
Doosan CCL/substrate rebound looks likely.
Doosan Corp is tied to CCL and its substrate business is strong. The stock has roughly halved from its high and is at a level where a rebound is likely, similar to the Samsung Electro-Mechanics MLCC recovery setup, even if valuation debate continues.
000150.KS LONG
CCL/Broadcom strength lifts PCB/substrate names.
CCL strength is positive for Isu Petasys. Broadcom's good earnings also support the MLB side, where Daeduk Electronics is attractive and has been heavily bought by foreigners recently, making Korean PCB and substrate names a rebound candidate.
Isu Petasys LONG 007660.KS LONG Daeduk Electronics LONG
OpenAI validation lifts Oracle and SoftBank.
Oracle had been undervalued because of concerns over its OpenAI investment and associated credit and capex burden, but the GPT-6/Astra breakthrough validates OpenAI and lifts OpenAI investment-related companies. Oracle and SoftBank are rising into earnings and are now favored by the market.
ORCL LONG SFTBY LONG 9984.T LONG
Samsung Electro-Mechanics MLCC recovery can continue.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is recovering slowly from a high-level drawdown in an MLCC-like bottoming pattern. Lee says if it continues rising, it can retry the 150,000 won area and possibly reach the upper 140,000s or late 140,000s, making it a component cyclical rebound candidate.
009150.KS LONG
Front-end semiconductor equipment joins rebound.
Back-end process equipment names already surged, and Friday's spike in Wonik IPS shows front-end process equipment is joining the move. Eugene Technology, which had already risen relatively more, may move again, and PSK rose more than 4%, making these front-end equipment names worth watching for a challenge higher.
WONIK IPS LONG 084370.KQ LONG PSK LONG
HIGH
02:45
Sep 07
009150.KS 066570.KS FLIP Raw materials/commodities S&P 500 non-dominant stocks EWY
Buy Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Electronics
Because year-end tax-avoidance selling in Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix should flow into ETFs, the top non-memory holdings of those ETFs—Samsung Electro-Mechanics and LG Electronics—should benefit. Lee notes this repeated last year, with Samsung Electro-Mechanics moving first and LG Electronics following.
009150.KS LONG 066570.KS LONG
Buy raw materials for 2027 capex
Lee expects the huge Nvidia, Broadcom, and Dell orders to become actual construction/delivery/revenue next year, supporting a strong 2027 first-half rally in which raw materials and parts/equipment may outperform and could even beat electronics/memory returns.
Raw materials/commodities LONG
Buy US non-dominant stocks
The S&P 500 is only mid-range on valuation, but non-dominant stocks outside the M6/Tesla leaders are near historical valuation lows. Lee says past episodes suggest these non-dominant stocks may lead into year-end, so the US broadening trade is supported.
S&P 500 non-dominant stocks LONG
Watch KOSPI volatility for foreign inflows
Lee says September monthly seasonality and the Treasury buyback/CPI/FOMC calendar may produce short-term market strength, but he advises trimming exposure and raising cash before Chuseok, then re-entering after the holiday when the market's real style is confirmed.
EWY WATCH
Own Korean memory for HBM cycle
Samsung Electronics is likely to gain HBM share as HBM demand diversifies away from Nvidia toward Google and AMD next year; its HBM share has already recovered to about 33% and could flip SK Hynix's ~50%. HBM4 base-die demand should also raise Samsung's foundry utilization, and shareholder-return/HBM positioning makes Samsung worth treating differently next year.
005930.KS LONG
Own Korean memory for HBM cycle
Korean memory names are supported by HBM specialty demand, long-term supply contracts, and the coming HBM quantity cycle; valuation is only mid-range and downside looks limited to about 10%, while the sector can still rise 30-40% annually. Electronics/memory should no longer dominate alone, but the memory complex is not bearish.
000660.KS LONG
Buy Korean construction on B2B orders
Korean non-residential construction orders are already surging on data centers, memory fabs, and industrial/urban projects. Because this is B2B construction rather than housing B2C, it should be less sensitive to interest rates next year; GS Engineering & Construction, Samsung C&T, and Hyundai Engineering & Construction are the direct beneficiaries.
028260.KS LONG 006360.KS LONG 000720.KS LONG
Buy Samsung SDI for ESS exposure
ESS is the strong segment in batteries while EV demand is weak; China's CATL EPS is rising while BYD EPS is weak, and Samsung SDI has roughly 50% of large-battery revenue from ESS. Lee expects ESS-heavy Korean battery names, with Samsung SDI as the representative, to outperform next year.
006400.KS LONG
Buy Korea semiconductor equipment ETF
Korean semiconductor equipment and materials should catch up with the already strong imported equipment cycle; Samsung and SK hynix are pulling forward massive capex, and domestic equipment/materials orders typically follow after foreign equipment is installed. Lee says investors can use a Korea semiconductor equipment/materials ETF rather than doing individual company visits.
Korea semiconductor materials/components/equipment ETF LONG
HIGH
02:15
Sep 07
Cash reserve Leveraged single-stock ETFs AAPL Leveraged index ETFs XLU
Keep separate cash reserves when using margin.
Successful leveraged investors keep a separate cash account even while running margin in their stock account. The reserve lets them survive drawdowns, add to beaten-down positions, and double the account when the market rebounds. Park advises that anyone using margin should maintain a separate cash account so they can withstand a 50% structural bear market.
Cash reserve LONG
Avoid stock 2x; index 2x only panic.
Novice investors should avoid margin. Among leveraged products, index 2x products can be considered when panic selling hits, but single-stock 2x leveraged products should be avoided because they are dangerous.
Leveraged single-stock ETFs AVOID Leveraged index ETFs WATCH
Apple compounded 10x; own what you use.
Apple is a long-term compounder tied to products consumers keep buying. Over 10 years Apple stock rose 10x, about 20% annualized, enough to pay for iPhones, so product users should own the stock.
AAPL LONG
AI infrastructure drives utility labor demand.
US utility-sector hourly wages are the highest among sectors and rising fastest because AI data-center buildout is driving demand for electrical contractors, HVAC, plumbing, power-grid engineers, transformers and switchgear-related workers. This indicates AI infrastructure is a strong demand driver for the utility sector.
XLU WATCH
Won strength supports Korean and global equities.
The USDKRW uptrend is breaking and won strength is taking hold. Park views this as supportive for the Korean market and notes global equities have historically been strong during won-strengthening phases, so the FX backdrop is not bad.
EWY LONG VT LONG
Don't sell Korean exporters at 1,350 won.
USDKRW falling from 1,550 to 1,350 is not a reason to sell Korean exporters. Current 1,350 won is still not margin-destructive; only if USDKRW breaks below 1,000 would margins be seriously squeezed. Historically, good export companies stayed strong even during 2007 won strength.
Korean exporters LONG
Shipbuilders can rise despite stronger won.
Korean shipbuilders should not be dismissed just because the won strengthens. In 2005-2007, USDKRW fell from around 2,000 to 900, yet Hyundai Heavy Industries rose 35x because structural growth dominated FX. When structural growth is intact, investors should not overreact to won strength.
IPAY LONG 329180.KS LONG
Stronger won relieves Korean Air's dollar costs.
Korean Air gets relief as USDKRW falls to 1,350 because its aircraft lease obligations are largely dollar-denominated. The improving FX burden is supporting a share-price rebound.
003490.KS LONG
Own KT&G high-dividend consumer staple.
KT&G is a high-dividend consumer staple. Smokers without KT&G stock effectively fund the company's employees and shareholders, so owning KT&G offsets that cost; the best position is a non-smoker who holds KT&G stock.
033780.KS LONG
Prefer essential consumer staples over speculative growth.
Instead of chasing speculative growth stocks whose earnings are unproven, investors should start with essential consumer staples they will keep buying every year because those businesses are more visible and reliable.
XLP LONG Speculative growth stocks AVOID
HIGH
01:29
Sep 07
NVDA AVGO SMH 005930.KS 000660.KS
AI/memory semis are the strongest earnings trade.
Lee argues that the US market's employment-report-driven dip obscures the real signal: AI hardware and memory semiconductors rallied sharply. The catalyst was OpenAI's new model push and Jensen Huang's comment that Nvidia's current 100,000-unit Blackwell deployment could be followed by another 400,000 units, implying a massive additional need for memory. He says investors are recognizing that AI/memory is the only area where earnings growth outweighs even rising rates, making earlier memory demand and price worries meaningless.
NVDA LONG AVGO LONG SMH LONG
Hold Samsung, SK Hynix; fundamentals strong.
Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are trading at valuations that do not believe second-half or next-year earnings even though AI memory fundamentals have not deteriorated. The China CXMT threat is overblown because memory equipment is in short supply, CXMT cannot easily expand capacity, its HBM3 sample is not comparable to HBM4, and Korean suppliers still hold a wide technology gap. He advises investors to hold through the slow psychological recovery instead of taking profits, because there is no fundamental reason for a major new decline and the stocks should be higher six to twelve months out.
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
KOSPI can quickly regain 7,500.
Lee remains broadly bullish on the KOSPI. He notes he called 7,500 when it was much lower and says from around 6,800 the index can quickly return to 7,500. The rebound is slower because investor sentiment is damaged and overhead supply from trapped buyers must be absorbed, but the path remains upward and the current weak sentiment may be the last opportunity for long-term investors.
EWY LONG
HIGH
01:03
Sep 07
005930.KS 000660.KS 030200.KQ 1ST Leeno Industrial PSK
GPT-6 validates AI, memory demand grows.
GPT-6 Astra was highly praised and trained on about 100,000 Nvidia Blackwell GPUs; OpenAI reportedly plans to add 400,000 more GPUs, which validates AI capital spending and drives more compute, memory and HBM demand. The direct Korean beneficiaries are Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, and AI-driven memory demand can continue longer than the market previously doubted.
005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
Korean semiconductor equipment exports improving.
Korea is the world's third-largest semiconductor equipment exporter, but small and mid-sized equipment and materials stocks had not moved; they started improving Friday and are expected to extend gains today. Names such as EO Technics, Leeno Industrial, Simmtech and PSK are rising as semiconductor equipment exports remain strong.
030200.KQ LONG Leeno Industrial LONG PSK LONG 222800.KQ LONG
KOSPI 7,000 breakout possible, close uncertain.
The KOSPI may start around 6,900 and could break 7,000 with strength later, but closing above 7,000 may be difficult because this week includes CPI, Oracle earnings, Fed blackout and geopolitical/tariff risks. Investors should watch whether the index closes above 7,000 rather than overreacting if it fails intraday.
EWY WATCH
Strong won favors depressed airline shares.
Won strength is a headwind for Korean exporters, with a 10% appreciation potentially cutting operating profit by about 12% short term. However, this is a reason to look at previously depressed currency beneficiaries such as airlines; if export stocks pull back, the strong won can be used as the excuse, while airline and related domestic names offer a different investment idea.
Korean airline stocks LONG
LG Electronics robotics and actuator momentum.
LG Electronics has developed robot actuators and is discussing large-scale production with big tech companies, leveraging 60 years of motor technology to cut costs and raise technical capability. Bear Robotics pre-IPO, where LG Electronics owns more than 50%, adds momentum, and if the stock breaks the 225,000 won resistance, upside opens toward about 250,000 won; she personally remains positive on LG Electronics for robotics.
066570.KS LONG
Robotis robot leader with breakout setup.
Robotis actuators are used in Pollen Robotics' Microdok AI robot platform, with about 15 actuators per unit; Robotis revenue is trending upward, China's Unitree expansion may benefit it, and Goldman Sachs set a 630,000 won target. If it breaks the 313,000 won August high, additional upside is likely, and Robotis is acting as the sector leader.
108490.KQ LONG
Aging and physical AI drive robotics.
Global aging population is driving demand for home assistant and nursing robots, while physical AI expectations rise in tandem with agent AI. Governments including Korea are expanding AI/robot budgets, sending continued positive signals to the Korean robotics and physical AI complex.
Korean robotics sector LONG
Hanmi Semiconductor HBM TC bonder positive.
Hanmi Semiconductor has leading TC bonder technology and should benefit as the HBM market arrives quickly and TC bonding is needed; there is also Elon Musk-related equipment order momentum in space/solar. Market share worries and competitors create divided views, but she is positive while noting the 275,000 won and 120-day moving average resistance zone, so short-term traders may take profits near resistance unless semiconductor equipment volume expands.
042700.KS LONG
APR rebound possible if support holds.
APR dropped on Singapore noise about a banned ingredient in Medicube; APR says the product was not officially exported, but the market worries about counterfeiting and management. Exports to Europe and the US remain strong and cosmetics are driving earnings, so if the 120-day moving average and 380,000 won support hold, a short-term rebound is possible; if 380,000 won breaks, recovery may take longer.
278470.KS WATCH
Doosan benefits from high-end CCL pricing.
AI server, switch and data center specification upgrades require higher-end CCL; high-end CCL prices are about two to eight times higher than standard products, benefiting Doosan as the CCL leader. Today's positive broker report and 8.4% gain reflect higher earnings expectations from AI-driven CCL demand and pricing.
000150.KS LONG
HD HHI shipbuilding and AI engines.
HD Hyundai Heavy Industries has strong shipbuilding orders and earnings, plus an AI-linked engine story: power shortages from AI demand create actual engine orders, not just expectations. The market wants a fresh catalyst, and Alaska-related Korea/Japan comments have not sustained; the long-term trend remains intact as long as 400,000 won support holds, so long-term holders should not cut, while impatient traders can rotate some exposure into momentum names.
329180.KS LONG
HIGH
01:01
Sep 07
MU AVGO 000660.KS NVDA EWY
Google/Amazon custom chips boost memory.
Google and Amazon are starting to sell custom AI accelerators externally through ventures with Blackstone, Apollo, and Broadcom; this broadens AI data center chip demand and is structurally positive for memory suppliers, which is why SK Hynix ADR and Micron surged.
MU LONG 000660.KS LONG
Broadcom owns custom AI accelerator networking.
Broadcom is central to Google and Amazon's custom AI accelerator ramp, networking customization, and the Google-Blackstone-Apollo-Anthropic TPU project; external accelerator sales could turn free cash flow positive and Broadcom sees AI doubling.
AVGO LONG
Nvidia demand broadens beyond hyperscalers.
Nvidia's data center revenue now shows the non-hyperscaler 'other' segment doubled quarter-over-quarter to $40 billion, and that segment is mostly Nvidia-only, meaning AI demand is broadening beyond hyperscalers and supports Nvidia's growth despite free cash flow concerns.
NVDA LONG
Korean market set for strong open.
Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 3.38%, KOSPI night futures rose about 4%, and MSCI Korea ETF rose 4.6%; this suggests Korean markets should open higher with IT leading.
EWY LONG
Semiconductor parts stocks likely next mover.
After robot stocks led, semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment stocks are likely the next rapid mover because they are more elastic and chart patterns are improving.
Korean semiconductor materials/parts/equipment sector LONG
Foldable names event trade into Thursday.
Apple's foldable iPhone Ultra announcement on Thursday can give Korean foldable names such as Phintek, Dowoo Insys, and Sekyung Hi-Tech short-term momentum, but shipment targets are already doubted, so treat only as an event trade.
PineTek WATCH Dowoo Insys WATCH Sekyung Hi-Tech WATCH
AI semiconductor demand absorbs high rates.
Data center demand is now more than 60% of semiconductor demand, and AI infrastructure companies have 30%+ operating margins, so they can absorb 10% bond funding costs; unlike consumer-led chip cycles, high rates do not justify cutting AI infrastructure-related semiconductor exposure.
SMH LONG
Oil likely stabilizes despite war.
Oil is the biggest macro variable for rates, but Hormuz bypass routes, AIS-equipped ships, and secured Venezuelan supply suggest oil prices should stabilize, reducing rate hike pressure.
WTI WATCH
AI power infrastructure names continue up.
OpenAI Astra drove AI infrastructure names, and data center power shortage solutions such as Bloom Energy, Constellation Energy, and Oklo were re-rated; the theme should continue.
BE LONG CEG LONG OKLO LONG
Fab construction contracts benefit Korean builders.
Micron and Korean chipmakers are building fabs and signing long-term construction contracts; Korean construction names such as Hyundai E&C, Samsung E&A, and Samsung C&T are direct beneficiaries.
000720.KS LONG 028260.KS LONG 028260 LONG
Test socket semiconductor names are strongest.
Within semiconductor small caps, test socket names ISC, TSE, and TFE are the current strongest; Rino Industrial is also following after a pullback, with a tight stop near 60,000 won.
Rino Industrial LONG TSE LONG ISC LONG TFE LONG
Defense/space Hanwha Aerospace attractive valuation.
Hanwha Aerospace is still cheap versus Lockheed Martin and Rheinmetall and has space upside; the 100,000-110,000 won band is attractive for medium-term accumulation, while LIG Nex1 may lead short term.
012450.KS LONG 064350.KQ LONG
Cybersecurity ETF benefits from Astra.
Astra's security capability has become so strong that it reached critical level, pushing U.S. cybersecurity ETF to highs; U.S. cyber ETF is preferred over less competitive Korean names.
CIBR LONG
Tesla pullback is short-term noise.
Tesla's Cybercab-driven drop was a technical rejection at long-term moving average resistance, but the uptrend is not broken and the stock remains constructive short-term.
TSLA WATCH
Samsung SDI break triggers battery rally.
Samsung SDI needs to break 550,000 won with volume; if it does, LNF, POSCO Future M, and EcoPro BM can get a larger battery-chain rally.
003670.KS WATCH 247540.KQ WATCH
Robotis benefits from Hugging Face robot.
Robotis supplied major components for Hugging Face's $399 duck robot, tying it directly to Nvidia/Hugging Face and validating demand for its robot components.
108490.KQ LONG
NHN small neocloud expansion potential.
NHN is a small neocloud company that was first to show data center economics; its 30MW expansion by 2027 could turn it into a scalable Korean neocloud.
181710.KS LONG
Samsung SDI break triggers battery rally.
Battery investing must be selective; companies fast transitioning to LFP/ESS such as Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution, SK Innovation, and LNF should benefit, while broad EV-exposed battery names are not attractive.
LNF WATCH 006400.KS WATCH
Memory rebound started; hold or buy.
GPT-6 Astra re-ignited AI hardware demand and memory outperformance; memory semiconductor rebound has started, so holders should not sell into the rebound, and non-holders should add even after the initial rise.
042700.KS LONG
SK Telecom data center Anthropic play.
SK Telecom is an Anthropic IPO and AI data center play with a 15GW buildout, plus a six-month target of 110,000 won; long-term data center economics look attractive.
017670.KS LONG
Refiners benefit from strong product margins.
Refining utilization is around 98% and middle distillate margins are strong; S-Oil, SK Innovation, HD Hyundai, and GS are beneficiaries of the global refining upcycle.
010950.KS LONG GS LONG HD Hyundai LONG
SoftBank rallies on OpenAI Astra.
SoftBank owns 11% of OpenAI and is the key Stargate project financier; GPT-6 Astra reduces OpenAI concerns and should lift SoftBank, which is still below its June high.
SFTBY LONG
Broad semiconductor supply chain should rally.
Korean semiconductor materials, parts, and equipment should be held across front-end and back-end; even front-end names like Eugene Tech, Wonik IPS, and Jusung Engineering are now catching up after Astra removed AI capex concerns.
084370.KQ LONG WONIK IPS LONG 031980.KQ LONG 036930.KQ LONG
Doosan Fuel Cell best hydrogen play.
Data center power shortages are forcing even expensive hydrogen fuel cells to be used; Doosan Fuel Cell is the main local beneficiary after Bloom Energy, with order and target-price upgrades.
033260.KQ LONG
Doosan CCL shares price rebound.
Doosan Corp's CCL/electro-materials business is fundamentally strong and shares are half off their high, creating a rebound setup similar to Samsung Electro-Mechanics MLCC.
000150.KS LONG
Samsung Electronics cheap with buyback potential.
SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics remain core portfolio semiconductors; valuations are cheap relative to Micron, and SK Hynix deserves at least 250,000-300,000 won; both will lead when foreign and institutional supply returns.
005930.KS LONG
Samsung Electro-Mechanics substrate leader undervalued.
Samsung Electro-Mechanics is the substrate leader with good earnings and intact momentum; the stock fell only because of macro, leaving it undervalued.
009150.KS LONG
High-voltage transformer names are cheap.
AI data center power demand makes high-voltage transformers essential; HD Hyundai Electric and Hyosung Heavy Industries have high entry barriers and are still depressed from highs, with LS Electric as secondary.
267260.KS LONG 010120.KS LONG 298040.KS LONG
Robot component plays ready to move.
The final destination of AI semiconductors is robots; Doosan Robotics, SBB Tech, and SPG reducers should be near a turning point as Robotis has already led.
389500.KQ LONG 454910.KS LONG 058610.KQ LONG
Storage controller laggards benefit from Astra.
Astra requires fast computation and massive data storage, so storage controller and interface names Fadu, Neosem, and Exicon, which have lagged, should get catch-up opportunities.
440110.KQ LONG Exicon LONG Neosem LONG
Refiners benefit from strong product margins.
Battery investing must be selective; companies fast transitioning to LFP/ESS such as Samsung SDI, LG Energy Solution, SK Innovation, and LNF should benefit, while broad EV-exposed battery names are not attractive.
096770.KS LONG
Pharma/bio waits for lower rates.
Pharma/bio remains hostage to high rates; without fast rate cuts, no strong V-shaped sector rally, so it is better to wait.
Korean Pharma/Bio AVOID
HIGH
00:27
Sep 07
000333.SZ 1ST 1810.HK 1ST BTC HOOD 1ST Korean Semiconductors
Won
Midea's appliance leadership, CXMT stake support upside.
Midea Group is a global leader in air conditioning and Chinese home appliances. Q2 sales rose 4.5% year over year, operating profit rose 9%, and margin reached 10%. Overseas smart-home sales exceed 50% and gross margin can improve from the low 20s toward 30%. KUKA robotics is improving, and the company's CXMT stake could generate around 200 billion won in investment gains. The broker report raised target price and kept buy, implying about 17% upside, with dividend yield of about 5.7% and total shareholder return around 6.7%-7.7%.
000333.SZ LONG
Won
Xiaomi's overseas EV expansion is key catalyst.
Xiaomi is still in an early stage in electric vehicles with only a few models and mainly domestic sales, while BYD already has broad global sales including Europe and buses. The key forward catalyst for Xiaomi is possible expansion into Europe and Southeast Asia, while BYD has already captured many addressable markets.
1810.HK LONG
Golden cross could spark Bitcoin rally.
Bitcoin is trading near the 50-week moving average, which has acted as strong resistance, but the 200-week moving average is rising, narrowing the gap. A golden cross of the 200-week above the 50-week could trigger a strong Bitcoin rally. Despite repeated resistance tests, buying pressure persists and speculative longs remain. Spot ETF inflows over the week were about $900 million, supporting a positive setup.
BTC WATCH
Robinhood chain monetization could drive re-rating.
Robinhood's chain is generating meaningful revenue from stock-linked memecoins and stock token trading. Crypto revenue share has fallen from 37% to 17%, but the new chain revenue stream is separate and accelerating, especially in September. Conservative third-quarter chain revenue could be about $42 million and aggressive up to $80 million. If growth proves sustainable, Robinhood could see multiple expansion.
HOOD LONG
Favor sectors with rising profit margins.
With S&P 500 and KOSPI forward earnings growth peaking and rolling over, the market should emphasize earnings quality, especially rising operating margins. Past episodes show that in the first three months after KOSPI YoY earnings growth peaked, rising-margin sectors returned about 4.1%-4.3% while falling-margin sectors returned -7.4%. Current conditions favor semiconductors, defense, energy, shipbuilding, IT hardware, and shipping; within those sectors, select companies with improving margins.
Korean Semiconductors LONG Korean Defense LONG Korean energy LONG Korean Shipbuilding LONG Korean IT hardware LONG Korean Shipping LONG
Won strength, price hikes favor food names.
Food and beverage is acting as a defensive sector, up about 11% since July and outperforming KOSPI. Won strength lowers imported input costs and FX debt losses; companies have raised prices to offset high grain costs. The report recommends Nongshim and Lotte Wellfood for near-term margin improvement, while the presenter adds that Samyang Foods and KT&G are the better long-term fundamental choices because overseas growth and shareholder returns are stronger.
004370.KS LONG 280360.KS LONG 003230.KS LONG 033780.KS LONG
AI capex revives semiconductor infrastructure momentum.
OpenAI's GPT-6 Astra launch and aggressive capex from frontier labs, cloud, and software are strengthening AI semiconductor infrastructure momentum. Memory demand is expected to rise further due to AI learning and agentic expansion, with supply shortages and rising contract prices. SK Hynix ADR, Micron, SanDisk, Western Digital, Lam Research, and ASML all rallied on this theme.
SOXX LONG
Won strength not yet hurting Korean exporters.
The won's fall from 1,550 to 1,350 looks like strong appreciation but is not a reason to dump Korean exporters; only a break below about 1,100 would seriously squeeze margins. Historically, during 2007 won strength toward 900, structurally growing exporters such as Hyundai Heavy Industries still soared because structural growth dominates currency effects. Focus on whether an exporter has structural growth rather than overreacting to the exchange rate.
Korean exporters LONG
HIGH
00:12
Sep 07
MU SNDK EWY Korean semiconductor equipment/materials 084370.KQ
SanDisk and Micron charts suggest further upside.
Broker and industry checks show memory semiconductor fundamentals strengthening: HBM urgent orders increasing from August, NAND spot prices surging, Apple signing uncapped long-term NAND supply, server DRAM spot prices jumping from $3,000 to $3,600 in August, and customers accepting long-term contracts at up to 20% premiums.
MU LONG 005930.KS LONG 000660.KS LONG
SanDisk and Micron charts suggest further upside.
SanDisk and Micron opened Friday with strong bullish candles and closed back at their August 17-18 price levels; the speaker says these are not one-day charts and the stocks have room for additional upside.
SNDK LONG
KOSPI set to rally with semiconductor catch-up.
If Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix close the 6-8% gap with SanDisk and Micron, the KOSPI can push higher. The speaker also notes three consecutive weeks of lower tails on the KOSPI suggest an upward resolution.
EWY LONG
Korean semiconductor equipment follows chip rally.
When Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix strengthen, Korean semiconductor equipment and materials names should participate. On KOSDAQ, the strongest gainers were names such as Eugene Technology, PSK Holdings and Wonik IPS, showing money rotating into the semi supplier group.
Korean semiconductor equipment/materials LONG 084370.KQ LONG 031980.KQ LONG WONIK IPS LONG
Robotis is overvalued despite long-term robot story.
Robotis has a real long-term actuator story for humanoid robots, but the speaker says the stock is currently too expensive relative to that still-early reality. Robotis revenue ultimately depends on microdo sales that are not yet growing rapidly, so the stock moves in hype spikes and pullbacks rather than supported by current fundamentals.
108490.KQ AVOID
AI semiconductor demand narrative strengthened by Astra.
OpenAI's Astra/GPT-6 release is symbolically important because it is framed as the start of the AGI era. The speaker argues this creates a new narrative that GPU, HBM and memory demand will continue rather than enter a plateau, supporting the broader AI semiconductor supply chain.
SMH LONG
Nvidia dominates AI and robot brains.
Nvidia is positioned as the key brain supplier for physical AI and humanoid robots. OpenAI's Sam Altman said the brain matters more than the robot body, and the speaker notes humanoid robot developers are currently using Nvidia for the brain, while Astra's training also involved more than 100,000 Nvidia Grace Blackwell systems.
NVDA LONG
Watch mega-cap supply risk around Anthropic IPO.
Anthropic's IPO is expected to be finalized in early November. Based on the previous large listing pattern, mega-cap Nasdaq and S&P 500 names such as Apple and Nvidia softened into the listing and then recovered, so investors should schedule this potential supply-risk calendar around late October and early November.
SPY WATCH QQQ WATCH
HIGH
23:30
Sep 06
Turkey interest rates curve ARGT EEM 1ST
Rates curve positioned for Erdogan victory
During the 2023 Turkish election, the market was bullish on the opposition winning because of hyperinflation and Erdogan's low-rate pressure. Fieldwork showed the state machine was working for Erdogan and the opposition had no chance, so the fund went against the market and positioned for an Erdogan win via a high Turkish interest-rate curve trade.
Turkey interest rates curve LONG
Argentina trade against market anxiety won
In Argentina's election, the market was very anxious about Milei in Congress, but he was very confident in his own read; that opposite-side positioning produced a home run for the fund.
ARGT LONG
Emerging markets offer more election mispricings
After almost 3.5 years running the fund, he learned emerging markets offer more election-related asymmetry than developed markets because fewer people watch them; he specifically cites Turkey, Argentina, India, South Africa, Colombia, Peru, and Ecuador as places with more mispricing opportunities.
EEM LONG
HIGH
23:20
Sep 06
UNG 1ST 005380.KS 005490.KS Korean Semiconductors 004020.KS 1ST
Low EU gas storage may lift prices.
European natural gas storage is only about 65% full heading into winter, compared with the usual 80% at this time of year; this is driving observations that natural gas prices may rise and is flagged as an energy price trend to monitor.
UNG LONG
US-localized steel supply chain benefits Hyundai/POSCO.
Hyundai Motor Group, Hyundai Steel and POSCO are jointly building a Louisiana steel mill to make automotive steel sheet locally; with U.S. steel tariffs at 50%, U.S. hot-rolled steel prices about 30% above Asia/Europe, and Hyundai's U.S. vehicle production capacity above 1 million units, local steel production provides tariff-free, stable supply for cars and robots and can potentially serve GM, Ford and Honda, giving the project structural value even if steel margins are thin.
005380.KS LONG 005490.KS LONG 004020.KS LONG
AI server SSD demand is surging.
Semiconductors are Korea's biggest export driver at about 40% of electronics exports, and AI server SSD demand is surging, up 3.6x, making AI-driven server storage a key growth area for Korean semiconductor and electronics exporters.
Korean Semiconductors LONG
Kia's record US sales show competitiveness.
Kia is continuing to set record monthly U.S. sales even as Korean auto exports decline, indicating that the export drop is a structural shift to U.S. local production rather than a loss of U.S. market competitiveness.
000270.KS LONG
HIGH
22:50
Sep 06
MU SNDK SK Hynix ADR 000660.KS NVDA
Memory/storage outperforms on AI fundamentals.
US-listed memory and storage names such as Micron, SanDisk and SK hynix ADR are already repricing on AI fundamentals rather than interest-rate fear; since late July they rose 20-40% even before Friday's surge, and AI-driven demand plus firm HBM pricing supports continued memory/storage outperformance.
MU LONG SNDK LONG SK Hynix ADR LONG
SK hynix local shares deeply undervalued.
Korean local memory shares have not reflected the same AI memory strength. SK hynix local shares trade at a valuation multiple around 3.8x versus the ADR's 5.5x, with the ADR at a 44% premium, a discount near historical worst levels even though memory fundamentals are strong. The local share has bottomed and offers catch-up upside as the discount is unlikely to persist.
000660.KS LONG
Nvidia and Broadcom confirm AI capex visibility.
Nvidia and Broadcom are giving unusual multi-year visibility that supports AI hardware valuations: Nvidia issued a next-year forecast with roughly 70% growth that still allows HBM prices to rise, and Broadcom gave specific AI revenue targets of $115bn next year and $230bn two years later based on OpenAI and Anthropic infrastructure demand, reducing multiple-compression risk and confirming AI capex durability.
NVDA LONG AVGO LONG
HIGH
22:03
Sep 06
SMH MU NVDA TSLA FLIP AAPL
Rate-hike fears rotate into semiconductor certainty.
Friday's strong jobs report lifted Fed rate-hike odds back to about 60%, and instead of spreading into software or macro-sensitive names, the market rotated into more certain semiconductor and hardware names; that flight to certainty kept semis and cyclical tech up even as major indexes fell.
SMH LONG
Micron HBM capacity doubling by year-end.
Micron rose about 6% on a report that its HBM production capacity could double by year-end, from roughly 40,000-50,000 wafers per month to 100,000, supported by capacity expansion in Japan and Taiwan.
MU LONG
Nvidia ecosystem expansion and Rubin deployment.
Needham lifted its Nvidia target to $300 and viewed the Hugging Face acquisition as positive because controlling the open-weight platform widens Nvidia's AI ecosystem; Vera Rubin NVL72 systems were also delivered and Dell assembled the servers, reinforcing Nvidia's hardware dominance.
NVDA LONG
Cybercab disappointment, regulatory and scale overhang.
Tesla fell after its Cybercab event because the event was private, Musk did not appear, and the market got no clear path to fleet economics; NHTSA safety review and the need to prove scaling, utilization, maintenance and intervention economics create further overhang.
TSLA AVOID
Apple foldable event is key catalyst.
Apple's September 9 event may reveal a key catalyst: a roughly $2,000 foldable iPhone with A20 chips expected from TSMC, but KeyBanc warns the real issue is pricing, so the event is a watch item with upside or disappointment depending on price and execution.
AAPL WATCH
Geopolitical oil supply risk supports energy longs.
Weekend U.S.-Iran attacks on oil shipping added geopolitical supply risk not yet fully reflected in oil prices, while Hormuz pressure, Europe joining the economic blockade, record U.S. diesel refining margins and UBS's commodity diversification call support energy; Chevron and Korean refiners S-Oil and SK Innovation are making new highs.
WTI LONG CVX LONG 010950.KS LONG 096770.KS LONG
Winter LNG shortage risk supports natural gas.
Europe under-stored natural gas expecting a quicker war end, while Russia-Ukraine attacks on energy infrastructure and Qatar bottlenecks raise the risk of a winter LNG shortage; this supports natural gas and LNG names like Cheniere Energy, which is making new highs.
LNG LONG
Index inclusion fuels passive buying in names.
S&P index rebalancing creates passive demand: Bloom Energy is being added to the S&P 500, and Dell, Palo Alto Networks, Arista Networks and SanDisk are being added to the S&P 100; these index-inclusion names benefit from forced buying flows.
BE LONG DELL LONG PANW LONG ANET LONG SNDK LONG
Nike index deletion and apparel weakness.
Nike is being removed from the S&P 100 and remains in a severe downtrend; the broader apparel group is weak, and index deletion adds forced selling to an already broken chart.
NKE AVOID
Lululemon guidance cuts and negative sales growth.
Lululemon's guidance keeps being cut and sales growth has turned negative, driving repeated investor disappointment and a steep stock decline; despite a clean balance sheet, fundamentals are deteriorating.
LULU AVOID
Adobe earnings watch after pre-earnings decline.
Adobe fell into earnings on CEO transition concerns and software profit-taking; with earnings due this week, it is a watch item to see whether the selloff was overdone or guidance disappoints.
ADBE WATCH
Deutsche Bank positive on Robinhood chain monetization.
Deutsche Bank is positive on Robinhood because its new tokenized stock and crypto platform creates another monetization path, though AMC's pushback over increased equity volatility creates a regulatory risk.
HOOD LONG
Treasury yields face upward rate-hike pressure.
Strong jobs data pushed rate-hike odds back to about 60% and lifted the 10-year Treasury yield; Norway's sovereign fund is reportedly considering reducing U.S. Treasury exposure and Japan-related flows add supply pressure, making the Treasury complex a macro setup with upward yield risk.
10-Year U.S. Treasury Note WATCH
HIGH
21:00
Sep 06
MLAS3.SA 1ST
Multilaser recovering with diversified national tech.
Multilaser is in a recovery phase and is a diversified Brazilian technology company with revenue near R$5 billion and 5,000 employees. It operates across consumer electronics, audio (Pulse), baby products, electric motorcycles (Vats), TV manufacturing (Toshiba), smartphone manufacturing (OPPO), and distribution of international brands such as DJI and Cozinart, which supports a positive operating moment.
MLAS3.SA LONG
MED
20:00
Sep 06
BK
BNY Mellon experimenting with agentic commerce.
BNY Mellon is actively moving into agentic commerce: it held an internal demo day for nearly 400 employees, invited outside companies to demo agent-commerce products, and has an internal platform for employees to build agents, though it has not yet allowed full financial transactions. This makes BNY Mellon a key enterprise/financial-institution name to watch for agentic commerce adoption.
BK WATCH
MED